Predicting financial distress: Applicability of O-score and logit model for Pakistani firms

• Published in: Business and economic horizons Vol. 14; no. 2; pp. 389 - 401
• Main Authors: Waqas, Hamid, Md-Rus, Rohani
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Prague Prague Development Center 01.01.2018
• Subjects: Cash flow; Economic models; Ratios; Pakistan
• ISSN: 1804-1205; 1804-5006
• DOI: 10.15208/beh.2018.28

Predicting financial distress have significant importance in corporate finance as it serves as an effective early warning system for the related stakeholders. The study applies the most admired financial distress prediction O-score model and compares its predictive accuracy with estimated logit model. The study estimates logit model by including the profitability ratios, liquidity ratios, leverage ratios, and cash flow ratios. This study filled the gap by using the cash flow ratios to predict financial distress for Pakistani listed firms. The sample for the estimation model consists of 290 firms with 45 distressed and 245 healthy firms for the period 2006-2016 and covers all sectors of Pakistan Stock Exchange. The study provides important insights on the role of different financial ratio in predicting financial distress and shows that estimated logit model produces higher accuracy rate in predicting financial distress.