中国工程科技医药卫生与人口健康领域2035技术预见研究

为了把握医药卫生和人口健康领域国内外技术发展趋势，适应国家重大战略需求，开展未来20年我国医药卫生和人口健康领域关键技术预见，旨在促进我国居民健康及经济、社会发展。以国内外现有技术预见成果、文献计量和专利分析等为基础，提出备选技术需求清单，向领域内科技专家和产业专家进行德尔菲问卷调查。根据问卷调查结果，结合专家研判，提出了面向2035年我国工程科技医药卫生和人口健康领域的前10项重要关键技术、重要共性技术和重要颠覆性技术，分析了关键技术的实现时间、发展水平和制约因素，为医药卫生和人口健康领域重大工程建设提供了科学依据。...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in	中国工程科学 Vol. 19; no. 1; pp. 96 - 102
Main Author	孙殿军孙长颢张凤民丛斌乔杰高彦辉张勇吴立军金焰赵世光申宝忠高旭李霞田野牛玉梅赵丽军李冬梅徐建国杨宝峰
Format	Journal Article
Language	Chinese
Published	中国工程院战略咨询中心 2017 高等教育出版社有限公司哈尔滨医科大学,哈尔滨,150081%河北医科大学,石家庄,050017%北京大学,北京,100191
Subjects	2035 人口健康医药卫生德尔菲调查技术预见德尔菲调查技术预见医药卫生人口健康 2035 population health technology foresight medical health Delphi method
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ISSN	1009-1742 2096-0034
DOI	10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.014

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Summary:	为了把握医药卫生和人口健康领域国内外技术发展趋势，适应国家重大战略需求，开展未来20年我国医药卫生和人口健康领域关键技术预见，旨在促进我国居民健康及经济、社会发展。以国内外现有技术预见成果、文献计量和专利分析等为基础，提出备选技术需求清单，向领域内科技专家和产业专家进行德尔菲问卷调查。根据问卷调查结果，结合专家研判，提出了面向2035年我国工程科技医药卫生和人口健康领域的前10项重要关键技术、重要共性技术和重要颠覆性技术，分析了关键技术的实现时间、发展水平和制约因素，为医药卫生和人口健康领域重大工程建设提供了科学依据。
Bibliography:	medical health; population health; 2035; Delphi method; technology foresight 11-4421/G3 Key technology foresight in the fields of medical and population health is very important to China＇s population health, econ- omy, and social development. Such foresight permits technological development trends in medical and population health to be grasped, thereby meeting major national strategic demands. In this paper, a list of alternative technologies is put forward on the basis of tech- nology foresight, bibliometrics, and patent analysis （both domestic and international）. A Delphi investigation of the list was carried out among experts in the fields of medical technology and medical industry all over the country. A total of 10 major key technologies, 10 major common technologies, and 10 major disruptive technologies were put forward, by analyzing the results of the Delphi investiga- tion in combination with the experts＇ judgment. The realization time, development level, and limiting factors of these major technolo- gi
ISSN:	1009-1742 2096-0034
DOI:	10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.014