Increased transmissibility and global spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern as at June 2021

We present a global analysis of the spread of recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 variants and estimate changes in effective reproduction numbers at country-specific level using sequence data from GISAID. Nearly all investigated countries demonstrated rapid replacement of previously circulating lineages by...

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Published inEuro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles Vol. 26; no. 24
Main Authors Campbell, Finlay, Archer, Brett, Laurenson-Schafer, Henry, Jinnai, Yuka, Konings, Franck, Batra, Neale, Pavlin, Boris, Vandemaele, Katelijn, Van Kerkhove, Maria D, Jombart, Thibaut, Morgan, Oliver, le Polain de Waroux, Olivier
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Sweden Centre Europeen pour la Surveillance Epidemiologique du SIDA (European Centre for the Epidemiological Monitoring of AIDS) 17.06.2021
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
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ISSN1560-7917
1025-496X
1560-7917
DOI10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.24.2100509

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Summary:We present a global analysis of the spread of recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 variants and estimate changes in effective reproduction numbers at country-specific level using sequence data from GISAID. Nearly all investigated countries demonstrated rapid replacement of previously circulating lineages by the World Health Organization-designated variants of concern, with estimated transmissibility increases of 29% (95% CI: 24–33), 25% (95% CI: 20–30), 38% (95% CI: 29–48) and 97% (95% CI: 76–117), respectively, for B.1.1.7, B.1.351, P.1 and B.1.617.2.
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Correspondence: Finlay Campbell (campbellf@who.int)
ISSN:1560-7917
1025-496X
1560-7917
DOI:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.24.2100509