A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease

To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynam...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inAIMS mathematics Vol. 5; no. 6; pp. 7661 - 7677
Main Authors Bardina, Xavier, Ferrante, Marco, Rovira, Carles
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published AIMS Press 01.11.2020
Subjects
covid-19
reproduction number
sir model
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ISSN2473-6988
2473-6988
DOI10.3934/math.2020490

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Summary:To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynamics of such diseases.
ISSN:2473-6988
2473-6988
DOI:10.3934/math.2020490