Integrated multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming and AHP method for agricultural water and land optimization allocation under multiple uncertainties

• Published in: Journal of cleaner production Vol. 210; pp. 12 - 24
• Main Authors: Ren, Chongfeng, Li, Zhehao, Zhang, Hongbo
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier Ltd 10.02.2019
• Subjects: Analytic hierarchy process method; case studies; Chance-constrained programming; China; Cucurbitaceae; decision making; Fuzzy sets; irrigation scheduling; irrigation water; Irrigation water optimal allocation; land resources; Multi-objective programming; Multiple uncertainties; planning; planting; potatoes; risk; uncertainty; water resources; China; Fuzzy sets; Analytic hierarchy process method; Chance-constrained programming; Irrigation water optimal allocation; Multi-objective programming; Multiple uncertainties
• ISSN: 0959-6526; 1879-1786
• DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.10.348

Optimization allocation of agricultural water and land is a very complex system involves multiple objectives. Moreover, weights of each objective were signed by subjective judgement of decision makers is unreasonable. Furthermore, uncertainties are inevitable in the optimization allocation of irrigation water and land. In order to solve the above problems, this paper developed an improved multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming method. The developed model was then applied to a case study in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, China. Maximum net benefit, maximum agricultural water productivity, and minimum irrigation area were regarded as planning objectives. A series of optimal irrigation and planting structure schemes were obtained under multiple uncertainties. From the results, water resources shortage in Wuwei city is very severely and it could not satisfy Wuwei's water demand even if the risk probability Pi reaches 0.25. Moreover, water and irrigation area would vary in different crops. Such changes would mainly take place in potato, vegetable and cucurbit, which have the same characteristics with higher yield, lower cost or lower irrigation quota than other crops. Furthermore, the decision makers could make reasonable decisions on the optimal use of irrigation water and land resources under multiple objective and uncertainties based on the obtained results. •This paper developed an improved multi-objective stochastic fuzzy programming method.•It simultaneously optimizes irrigation water amount and irrigation areas.•AHP method was introduced to assign weight of each objective.•Optimal irrigation schemes were obtained under multiple uncertainties.•It could be helpful to make decision under multiple uncertainty and multiple objectives.