Estimation of the Energy Security Level and Definition of the Criteria for Damage Forecasts

• Published in: Latvian journal of physics and technical sciences Vol. 46; no. 1; pp. 15 - 24
• Main Authors: Molochko, F., Molochko, A., Ekmanis, J., Zeltins, N., Zebergs, V.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Riga Versita 01.01.2009; De Gruyter Brill Sp. z o.o., Paradigm Publishing Services
• Subjects: damage; energy security; estimation criteria; security indicators
• ISSN: 0868-8257; 2199-6156; 2255-8896; 2199-6156
• DOI: 10.2478/v10047-009-0004-3

In the work, the energy security indicators in a region (a state) are considered, and two general directions are proposed for search among the criteria for estimation and forecast of the damage inflicted by power supply limitations: based on the differentiated calculations for each economic subject, and on the generalised indices of regional economy. Of especial interest is analysis of a recently introduced damage intensity factor and its dependence on the level of limitations and the type of energy carriers. Darbā nosaukti energētiskā drošuma indikatori, pamatota kritēriju izvēle uz to pamata piedāvāta metodika iespējamo energonesēju piegēžu zaudējumu novērtēsanai regionam pie dažādiem ierobežojumu līmeņiem.