I Got Algorithm: Can There Be a Nate Silver in Intelligence?
Nate Silver is a prominent statistician / statistical probability analyst who, among other achievements, maybe best known for making a very accurate prediction of Pres Barack Obama's victory and its dimensions in the 2012 election. In doing so, he probably redeemed the reputation of sophisticat...
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| Published in | International journal of intelligence and counterintelligence Vol. 29; no. 3; pp. 525 - 544 |
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| Main Author | |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
Philadelphia
Routledge
02.07.2016
Taylor & Francis LLC |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 0885-0607 1521-0561 |
| DOI | 10.1080/08850607.2016.1121049 |
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| Abstract | Nate Silver is a prominent statistician / statistical probability analyst who, among other achievements, maybe best known for making a very accurate prediction of Pres Barack Obama's victory and its dimensions in the 2012 election. In doing so, he probably redeemed the reputation of sophisticated mathematical modeling that was badly tarnished by its association with the poor investment decisions that brought the financial debacle of 2008. Nevertheless, in presenting the methodology on assessing and predicting threats, the author has explicitly noted that analysts might well look to statistical probability analysis as another way to gain confidence that their particular hypothesis on some threat is on target. |
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| AbstractList | Nate Silver is a prominent statistician / statistical probability analyst who, among other achievements, maybe best known for making a very accurate prediction of Pres Barack Obama's victory and its dimensions in the 2012 election. In doing so, he probably redeemed the reputation of sophisticated mathematical modeling that was badly tarnished by its association with the poor investment decisions that brought the financial debacle of 2008. Nevertheless, in presenting the methodology on assessing and predicting threats, the author has explicitly noted that analysts might well look to statistical probability analysis as another way to gain confidence that their particular hypothesis on some threat is on target. |
| Author | Spielmann, Karl |
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| Copyright | Copyright © Taylor & Francis Group, LLC 2016 Copyright Taylor & Francis Group 2016 |
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| SubjectTerms | Analysts Confidence Decision analysis Elections Investment Investments Prediction Predictions Probability Reputations Silver, Nate Statistical analysis Threat evaluation Trust |
| Title | I Got Algorithm: Can There Be a Nate Silver in Intelligence? |
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