The macroeconomics of central bank digital currencies

We study the macroeconomic consequences of issuing central bank digital currency (CBDC) - a universally-accessible and interest-bearing central bank liability that competes with bank deposits as medium of exchange. In a DSGE model calibrated to match the pre-2008 US, we find that CBDC issuance of 30...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inJournal of economic dynamics & control Vol. 142; p. 104148
Main Authors Barrdear, John, Kumhof, Michael
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier B.V 01.09.2022
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ISSN0165-1889
1879-1743
DOI10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104148

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Summary:We study the macroeconomic consequences of issuing central bank digital currency (CBDC) - a universally-accessible and interest-bearing central bank liability that competes with bank deposits as medium of exchange. In a DSGE model calibrated to match the pre-2008 US, we find that CBDC issuance of 30% of GDP, against government bonds, could permanently raise GDP by 3%, due to lower real interest rates, distortionary taxes, and monetary transaction costs. Countercyclical CBDC policy rules, as a second monetary policy tool, could substantially improve the central bank’s ability to stabilise the business cycle. Risks to banks can be minimized through appropriate issuance arrangements.
ISSN:0165-1889
1879-1743
DOI:10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104148