Blood pressure and mortality in elderly people aged 85 and older: community based study

Abstract Objective: To determine whether the inverse relation between blood pressure and all cause mortality in elderly people over 85 years of age can be explained by adjusting for health status, and to determine whether high blood pressure is a risk factor for mortality when the effects of poor he...

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Published inBMJ Vol. 316; no. 7147; pp. 1780 - 1784
Main Authors Boshuizen, Hendriek C, Izaks, Gerbrand J, van Buuren, Stef, Ligthart, Gerard J
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London British Medical Journal Publishing Group 13.06.1998
British Medical Association
BMJ Publishing Group Ltd
BMJ Publishing Group LTD
BMJ Publishing Group
British Medical Journal
EditionInternational edition
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0959-8138
0959-8146
1468-5833
1756-1833
DOI10.1136/bmj.316.7147.1780

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Summary:Abstract Objective: To determine whether the inverse relation between blood pressure and all cause mortality in elderly people over 85 years of age can be explained by adjusting for health status, and to determine whether high blood pressure is a risk factor for mortality when the effects of poor health are accounted for. Design: 5 to 7 year follow up of community residents aged 85 years and older. Setting: Leiden, the Netherlands. Subjects: 835 subjects whose blood pressure was recorded between 1987 and 1989. Main outcome measure: All cause mortality. Results: An inverse relation between blood pressure and all cause mortality was observed. For diastolic blood pressure crude 5 year all cause mortality decreased from 88% (52/59) (95% confidence interval 79% to 95%) in those with diastolic blood pressures <65 mm Hg to 59% (27/46) (44% to 72%) in those with diastolic pressures >100 mm Hg. For systolic blood pressure crude 5 year all cause mortality decreased from 85% (95/112) (78% to 91%) in those with systolic pressures <125 mm Hg to 59% (13/22) (38% to 78%) in those with systolic pressures >200 mm Hg. This decrease was no longer significant after adjustment for indicators of poor health. No relation existed between blood pressure and mortality from cardiovascular causes or stroke after adjustment for age and sex, but after adjustment for age, sex, and indicators of poor health there was a positive relation between diastolic blood pressure and mortality from both cardiovascular causes and stroke. Conclusion: The inverse relation between blood pressure and all cause mortality in elderly people over 85 is associated with health status. Key messages Among community residents aged 85 and older there was a paradoxical inverse relation between blood pressure and all cause mortality: higher blood pressure was associated with lower mortality This inverse relation seems mainly to be due to higher mortality in those with low blood pressure; low blood pressure seems to be caused by poor health There was no longer a significant relation between blood pressure and all cause mortality after adjusting for health status. However, there was a positive relation between diastolic blood pressure and mortality from both cardiovascular causes and stroke Treating hypertension does not shorten life expectancy among elderly people aged 85 and older, and it might prevent disability from stroke
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Correspondence to: Dr Boshuizen
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Contributors: HCB reviewed the literature, analysed the data, interpreted results, wrote the paper, and is guarantor for the paper. GJI discussed core ideas, provided technical assistance with the Leiden 85 plus database, participated in the interpretation of the results and in writing the paper. SvB helped analyse the data (particularly the multiple imputations), interpreted the results, and participated in writing the paper. GJL supervised activities, discussed core ideas, participated in the interpretation of the results and in writing the paper. AM Lagaay was responsible for the baseline population survey of the Leiden 85 plus study and together with WCA van Beek she collected the baseline data. RGJ Westendorp provided assistance with the analysis of the data on the causes of death and commented on the manuscript.
Correspondence to: Dr Boshuizen HC.Boshuizen@PG.TNO.NL
ISSN:0959-8138
0959-8146
1468-5833
1756-1833
DOI:10.1136/bmj.316.7147.1780