The role of healthcare delivery in the outcome of meningococcal disease in children: case-control study of fatal and non-fatal cases

Objective To determine whether suboptimal management in hospital could contribute to poor outcome in children admitted with meningococcal disease. Design Case-control study of childhood deaths from meningococcal disease, comparing hospital care in fatal and non-fatal cases. Setting National statisti...

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Published inBMJ Vol. 330; no. 7506; pp. 1475 - 1478
Main Authors Ninis, Nelly, Phillips, Claire, Bailey, Linda, Pollock, Jon I, Nadel, Simon, Britto, Joseph, Maconochie, Ian, Winrow, Andrew, Coen, Pietro G, Booy, Robert, Levin, Michael
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London British Medical Journal Publishing Group 25.06.2005
British Medical Association
BMJ Publishing Group LTD
BMJ Publishing Group
BMJ Publishing Group Ltd
EditionInternational edition
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Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0959-8138
0959-8146
1756-1833
1468-5833
1756-1833
DOI10.1136/bmj.330.7506.1475

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Summary:Objective To determine whether suboptimal management in hospital could contribute to poor outcome in children admitted with meningococcal disease. Design Case-control study of childhood deaths from meningococcal disease, comparing hospital care in fatal and non-fatal cases. Setting National statistics and hospital records. Subjects All children under 17 years who died from meningococcal disease (cases) matched by age with three survivors (controls) from the same region of the country. Main outcome measures Predefined criteria defined optimal management. A panel of paediatricians blinded to the outcome assessed case records using a standardised form and scored patients for suboptimal management. Results We identified 143 cases and 355 controls. Departures from optimal (per protocol) management occurred more frequently in the fatal cases than in the survivors. Multivariate analysis identified three factors independently associated with an increased risk of death: failure to be looked after by a paediatrician, failure of sufficient supervision of junior staff, and failure of staff to administer adequate inotropes. Failure to recognise complications of the disease was a significant risk factor for death, although not independently of absence of paediatric care (P = 0.002). The odds ratio for death was 8.7 (95% confidence interval 2.3 to 33) with two failures, increasing with multiple failures. Conclusions Suboptimal healthcare delivery significantly reduces the likelihood of survival in children with meningococcal disease. Improved training of medical and nursing staff, adherence to published protocols, and increased supervision by consultants may improve the outcome for these children and also those with other life threatening illnesses.
Bibliography:ark:/67375/NVC-RJ6BXS7M-4
ArticleID:bmj.330.7506.1475
PMID:15976421
Correspondence to: N Ninis
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We dedicate this paper to the late Professor David Baum. We thank Roddy McFaul for his help; all local hospital staff and regional paediatric intensive care; public health staff at CDSC including Mary Ramsay, Norman Begg, and James Stuart; Ed Kaczmarski of the Meningococcal Reference unit in Manchester; the district consultants in communicable disease control; and the regional epidemiologists. We are grateful to all the parents who participated, especially those recently bereaved.
Ethical approval: South Thames multi-research ethics committee and all local research ethics committees in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland approved the study.
Conflict of interests: None declared.
Contributors: NN played a leading role in the conduct of the study, data collection, data analysis, and writing of the manuscript. CP participated in data collection, scoring of panel meetings, data analysis, and revision of the manuscript. LB participated in preparing clinical material for panel meetings, data collection, and presentation of patients at panel meetings. SN contributed to the design of the study and the development of assessment tools, scoring of patients, and revision of the manuscript. JB, IM, and AW participated in the panel assessment of patients and revision of the manuscript. JIP contributed to the design of the study and revision of the manuscript. RB contributed to the epidemiological design of the study, conduct of study, and revision of the manuscript. PGC was responsible for statistical analysis of data and writing the manuscript. ML designed the study, oversaw the conduct of the study and methodology, wrote the initial draft, and is guarantor.
Funding: This study was supported by a grant from the Meningitis Research Foundation.
Correspondence to: N Ninis ninisn@gosh.nhs.uk
ISSN:0959-8138
0959-8146
1756-1833
1468-5833
1756-1833
DOI:10.1136/bmj.330.7506.1475