中国镍产业链对外贸易演化格局及影响因素分析

TD-9%F407.1; 镍作为战略性新兴产业与国防工业发展必不可少的关键金属,以其资源稀缺性和战略重要性成为国际贸易竞争的新焦点.但中国镍资源高度依赖进口,把握中国镍产业链贸易格局及其影响因素,对中国镍产业链稳定有重要意义.研究基于 2000-2022年中国镍产品进出口数据,以及相关经济社会指标,运用GIS空间技术和负二项回归模型,探讨中国镍产业链对外贸易格局的时空演化及相关影响因素.研究结果表明:①中国镍产业链对外贸易额整体波动上升,进口额始终大于出口额;②镍产业链上游产品和中游产品逐步取代下游产品成为进口的主体构成,下游不锈钢产品是最大出口产品,遵循"进口附加值较低的镍矿原材料...

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Published in中国矿业 Vol. 34; no. 2; pp. 232 - 243
Main Authors 张欣, 王强, 党牛, 李一楠, 张发梓, 张琦琦, 陈达荃, 黄雪婷, 杨祎诺, 徐茹玲
Format Magazine Article
LanguageChinese
Published 福建师范大学地理科学学院、碳中和未来技术学院,福建 福州 350117 01.02.2025
Subjects
nickel trade
贸易格局
时空演化
trade pattern
影响因素
镍贸易
产业链
industry chain
spatiotemporal evolution
influencing factor
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN1004-4051
DOI10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20242009

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Abstract TD-9%F407.1; 镍作为战略性新兴产业与国防工业发展必不可少的关键金属,以其资源稀缺性和战略重要性成为国际贸易竞争的新焦点.但中国镍资源高度依赖进口,把握中国镍产业链贸易格局及其影响因素,对中国镍产业链稳定有重要意义.研究基于 2000-2022年中国镍产品进出口数据,以及相关经济社会指标,运用GIS空间技术和负二项回归模型,探讨中国镍产业链对外贸易格局的时空演化及相关影响因素.研究结果表明:①中国镍产业链对外贸易额整体波动上升,进口额始终大于出口额;②镍产业链上游产品和中游产品逐步取代下游产品成为进口的主体构成,下游不锈钢产品是最大出口产品,遵循"进口附加值较低的镍矿原材料—国内加工研发制造—出口较高附加值镍产品"的发展模式;③中国镍产业链中上游产品进口格局逐渐多元化;中游出口国数量远大于进口国,产品主要销往周边经济发达国家;下游产品进口贸易高度集中于主要市场,主要出口国逐渐由发达国家转向发展中国家,且与"一带一路"共建国家的贸易日益密切;④贸易国属性、国家邻近性和国际贸易环境与政治关系因素影响着中国镍产业链产品对外贸易.
AbstractList TD-9%F407.1; 镍作为战略性新兴产业与国防工业发展必不可少的关键金属,以其资源稀缺性和战略重要性成为国际贸易竞争的新焦点.但中国镍资源高度依赖进口,把握中国镍产业链贸易格局及其影响因素,对中国镍产业链稳定有重要意义.研究基于 2000-2022年中国镍产品进出口数据,以及相关经济社会指标,运用GIS空间技术和负二项回归模型,探讨中国镍产业链对外贸易格局的时空演化及相关影响因素.研究结果表明:①中国镍产业链对外贸易额整体波动上升,进口额始终大于出口额;②镍产业链上游产品和中游产品逐步取代下游产品成为进口的主体构成,下游不锈钢产品是最大出口产品,遵循"进口附加值较低的镍矿原材料—国内加工研发制造—出口较高附加值镍产品"的发展模式;③中国镍产业链中上游产品进口格局逐渐多元化;中游出口国数量远大于进口国,产品主要销往周边经济发达国家;下游产品进口贸易高度集中于主要市场,主要出口国逐渐由发达国家转向发展中国家,且与"一带一路"共建国家的贸易日益密切;④贸易国属性、国家邻近性和国际贸易环境与政治关系因素影响着中国镍产业链产品对外贸易.
Abstract_FL As an indispensable key metal for the development of strategic emerging industries and national defense industry,nickel has become a new focus of international trade competition due to its resource scarcity and strategic importance.However,China's nickel resources are highly dependent on imports,and it is of great significance to grasp the trade pattern and influencing factors of China's nickel industry chain.Based on the import and export data of nickel products in China from 2000 to 2022 and related economic and social indicators,this paper uses GIS spatial technology and negative binomial regression model to explore the spatiotemporal evolution of the foreign trade pattern of China's nickel industry chain and related influencing factors.The results show that:① the overall fluctuation of the foreign trade volume of China's nickel industry chain has increased,and the import volume has always been greater than the export value.② The upstream and midstream products of the nickel industry chain gradually replace the downstream products as the main component of imports,and the downstream stainless steel products are the largest export products,following the development model of"importing nickel ore raw materials with low added value-domestic processing,R&D and manufacturing-exporting nickel products with higher added value".③ The import pattern of upstream and midstream products in China's nickel industry chain is gradually diversified.The number of midstream exporters is much larger than that of importing countries,and the products are mainly sold to neighboring economic developed countries.The import trade of downstream products is highly concentrated in major markets,and the major exporting countries are gradually shifting from developed countries to developing countries,and the trade with countries along"the Belt and Road"is becoming increasingly close.④ The attributes of trading countries,national proximity,international trade environment and political relations affect the foreign trade of China's nickel industry chain products.
Author 王强
李一楠
张琦琦
黄雪婷
杨祎诺
张欣
党牛
陈达荃
张发梓
徐茹玲
AuthorAffiliation 福建师范大学地理科学学院、碳中和未来技术学院,福建 福州 350117
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Author_FL ZHANG Qiqi
ZHANG Fazi
ZHANG Xin
DANG Niu
WANG Qiang
YANG Yinuo
LI Yinan
HUANG Xueting
CHEN Daquan
XU Ruling
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Keywords nickel trade
贸易格局
时空演化
trade pattern
影响因素
镍贸易
产业链
industry chain
spatiotemporal evolution
influencing factor
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Snippet TD-9%F407.1; 镍作为战略性新兴产业与国防工业发展必不可少的关键金属,以其资源稀缺性和战略重要性成为国际贸易竞争的新焦点.但中国镍资源高度依赖进口,把握中国镍产业链...
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Title 中国镍产业链对外贸易演化格局及影响因素分析
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Volume 34
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