풍상 관측 기반 2019년 국내 시도별 PM2.5 국외 배출 영향 보정 및 국내 배출량의 불확도 추정

• Published in: 한국대기환경학회지(국문) Vol. 38; no. 4; pp. 624 - 636
• Main Authors: 배민아(Minah Bae), 김순태(Soontae Kim)
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: Korean
• Published: 한국대기환경학회 01.08.2022
• Subjects: 대기과학; Foreign emission impacts; Adjustment; 2.5< Emission uncertainty; PM< CAPSS; SUB&gt
• ISSN: 1598-7132; 2383-5346
• DOI: 10.5572/KOSAE.2022.38.4.624

In this study, we estimated the foreign emission impact on PM2.5 concentration in South Korea using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling with a set of bottom-up emissions inventories over Northeast Asia during 2019. PM2.5 foreign impact based on the emissions inventory was estimated to 12.7 μg/m3 for the study period. However, when compared to the PM2.5 observations in China, simulated PM2.5 concentration for the period was overestimated by about 10 μg/m3 (24%) during 2019. When adjusted with ratios of monthly mean observed to simulated concentrations over the upwind region, the period mean foreign impact was lowered by 2.6 μg/m3. The relative foreign impacts in South Korea before and after the adjustment was 54% and 43%, respectively. On the other hand, the bias between observed and simulated PM2.5 concentrations in South Korea has increased from 0.1 μg/m3 before foreign contribution adjustment to -2.5 μg/m3 after the adjustment. This indicates that additional domestic emissions are necessary to explain the lack of PM2.5 self-contribution (2.5 μg/m3). After the adjustment, the biases between the observations and simulated concentrations for seventeen provinces ranged from -10.5 to 24.5 μg/m3. This result represents that accuracy of provincial level emissions should be guaranteed when future direction on the sub-regional air quality managements in South Korea to lower the ambient concentration of the secondary air pollutant is considered. Overall, this study exhibits that uncertainties in foreign contributions need to be better understood prior to estimation of uncertainties embedded in domestic emissions in South Korea to weigh the importance of PM2.5 transboundary impact. KCI Citation Count: 0