신선농산물 수출의 결정요인과 지원 효과 분석

• Published in: 농촌경제 Vol. 35; no. 1; pp. 69 - 90
• Main Authors: 문한필, 김경필, 어명근, 이지용
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: Korean
• Published: 한국농촌경제연구원 21.04.2012
• Subjects: government support strategies; random-effect panel Tobit; 농업경제학; 정부 지원정책 gravity model; 중력모형; 확률효과 패널토빗
• ISSN: 1229-8263; 2713-9506
• DOI: 10.36464/jrd.2012.35.1.004

This paper analyzes what factors affect Korea`s agricultural export. With a dataset of agricultural export for the period of 2003~2009 and several explanatory variables, we specify an export equation derived from the gravity model, and then estimate it using the random-effect panel Tobit. The main findings are as follows: first, Korean agricultural exports have increased faster and greater in bigger markets with respect to GDP. Second, the distance from Korea or transportation cost is a critical factor determining the agricultural export. Third, the export support programs are proved to play a crucial role in boosting the export of fresh agricultural products. Fourth, the effect of relative exchange rates on the agricultural export is shown to be ambiguous or inconsistent from product to product. Finally, the number of Korean expatriates in foreign markets has a positive effect on the export performance.