EWMA Control Chart Performance with Estimated Parameters under Non-normality

Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts can be designed to detect shifts in the underlying process parameters quickly while enjoying robustness to non‐normality. Past studies have shown that performance of various EWMA control charts can be adversely affected when parameters are...

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Published inQuality and reliability engineering international Vol. 32; no. 5; pp. 1637 - 1654
Main Authors Noorossana, R., Fathizadan, S., Nayebpour, M. R.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Bognor Regis Blackwell Publishing Ltd 01.07.2016
Wiley Subscription Services, Inc
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0748-8017
1099-1638
DOI10.1002/qre.1896

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Abstract Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts can be designed to detect shifts in the underlying process parameters quickly while enjoying robustness to non‐normality. Past studies have shown that performance of various EWMA control charts can be adversely affected when parameters are estimated or observations do not follow a normal distribution. To the best of our knowledge, simultaneous effect of parameter estimation and non‐normality has not been studied so far. In this paper, a Markov chain approach is used to model and evaluate performance of EWMA control charts when parameter estimation is subject to non‐normality using skewed and heavy‐tailed symmetric distributions. Using standard deviation of the run length (SDRL), average run length (ARL), and percentiles of run lengths for various phase I sample sizes, we show that larger phase I sample sizes do not necessarily lead to a better performance for non‐normal observations. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
AbstractList Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts can be designed to detect shifts in the underlying process parameters quickly while enjoying robustness to non-normality. Past studies have shown that performance of various EWMA control charts can be adversely affected when parameters are estimated or observations do not follow a normal distribution. To the best of our knowledge, simultaneous effect of parameter estimation and non-normality has not been studied so far. In this paper, a Markov chain approach is used to model and evaluate performance of EWMA control charts when parameter estimation is subject to non-normality using skewed and heavy-tailed symmetric distributions. Using standard deviation of the run length (SDRL), average run length (ARL), and percentiles of run lengths for various phase I sample sizes, we show that larger phase I sample sizes do not necessarily lead to a better performance for non-normal observations. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts can be designed to detect shifts in the underlying process parameters quickly while enjoying robustness to non-normality. Past studies have shown that performance of various EWMA control charts can be adversely affected when parameters are estimated or observations do not follow a normal distribution. To the best of our knowledge, simultaneous effect of parameter estimation and non-normality has not been studied so far. In this paper, a Markov chain approach is used to model and evaluate performance of EWMA control charts when parameter estimation is subject to non-normality using skewed and heavy-tailed symmetric distributions. Using standard deviation of the run length (SDRL), average run length (ARL), and percentiles of run lengths for various phase I sample sizes, we show that larger phase I sample sizes do not necessarily lead to a better performance for non-normal observations.
Author Noorossana, R.
Nayebpour, M. R.
Fathizadan, S.
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  email: Correspondence to: R. Noorossana, Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran., rassoul@iust.ac.ir
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  organization: Keller Graduate School of Management, DeVry University, TX, Houston, USA
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– reference: Abbasi SA, Miller A. On proper choice of variability control chart for normal and non-normal processes. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 2012; 28(3):279-296.
– reference: Borror CM, Montgomery DC, Runger GC. Robustness of the EWMA control chart to non-normality. Journal of Quality Technology 1999; 31:309-316.
– reference: Jones LA, Champ CW, Rigdon SE. The performance of exponentially weighted moving average charts with estimated parameters. Technometrics 2001; 43(2):156-167.
– reference: Saleh NA, Mahmoud AM, Abdel-Salam GA. The performance of the adaptive exponentially weighted moving average control chart with estimated parameters. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 2012; 29:595-606.
– reference: Del Castillo E. Run length distributions and economic design of X charts with unknown process variance. Metrika 1996a; 43:189-201.
– reference: Montgomery DC. Introduction to statistical quality control (6th edn). Wiley: New York, 2009.
– reference: Braun WJ, Park D. Estimation of σ for individuals charts. Journal of Quality Technology 2008; 40(3):332-344.
– reference: Champ CW, Rigdon SE. A comparison of the Markov chain and the integral equation approaches for evaluating the run length distribution of quality control charts. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 1991; 20(1):191-204.
– reference: Sim CH, Wong WK. R-charts for the exponential, Laplace and logistic processes. Statistical Papers 2003; 44:535-554.
– reference: Sim CH. Inverse Gaussian control charts for monitoring process variability. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 2003b; 32:223-239.
– reference: Brook D, Evans DA. An approach to the probability distribution of CUSUM run length. Biometrika 1972; 59(3):539-549.
– reference: Reiss DJ, Facciotti MT, Baliga NS. Model-based deconvolution of genome-wide DNA binding. Bioinformatics 2008; 24:396-403.
– reference: DeVor RE, Chang T, Sutherland JW. Statistical quality design and control contemporary concepts and methods. Prentice-Hall, Inc., Simon and Schuster: NJ, U.S.A., 1992.
– reference: Jensen WA, Jones-Farmer LA, Champ CW, Woodall WH. Effects of parameter estimation on control chart properties: a literature review. Journal of Quality Technology 2006; 38:349-364.
– reference: Robson JG, Troy JB. Nature of the maintained discharge of Q, X, and Y retinal ganglion cells of the cat. Journal of the Optical Society of America A 1987; 4:2301-2307.
– reference: Chen G. The run length distribution of the R, S, and S2 control charts when σ is estimated. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 1998; 26:311-322.
– reference: Lucas JM, Saccucci MS. Exponentially moving average control schemes: properties and enhancements. Technometrics 1990; 32(1):1-12.
– reference: Wheeler DJ. Advanced topics in statistical process control: the power of Shewhart's chart. SPC Press: Knoxville, TN, 1995.
– reference: Maravelakis P, Panaretos J, Psarakis S. An examination of the robustness to non normality of the EWMA control charts for the dispersion. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 2005; 34:1069-1079.
– reference: Jones LA, Champ CW, Rigdon SE. The run length distribution of the CUSUM with estimated parameters. Journal of Quality Technology 2004; 36(1):95-108.
– reference: Abbasi SA, Riaz M, Miller A, Ahmad S. On the performance of phase I dispersion control charts for process monitoring. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 2013. doi:10.1002/qre.1703.
– reference: Chakraborti S. Run length, average run length and false alarm rate of Shewhart X chart: exact derivations by conditioning. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 2000; 29:61-81.
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– volume: 36
  start-page: 95
  issue: 1
  year: 2004
  end-page: 108
  article-title: The run length distribution of the CUSUM with estimated parameters
  publication-title: Journal of Quality Technology
– year: 2009
– volume: 24
  start-page: 396
  year: 2008
  end-page: 403
  article-title: Model‐based deconvolution of genome‐wide DNA binding
  publication-title: Bioinformatics
– volume: 18
  start-page: 547
  year: 2003a
  end-page: 563
  article-title: Combined X‐bar and CRL charts for the gamma process
  publication-title: Computational Statistics
– volume: 25
  start-page: 237
  issue: 4
  year: 1993
  end-page: 247
  article-title: The effect of sample size on estimated limits for and X control charts
  publication-title: Journal of Quality Technology
– volume: 43
  start-page: 189
  year: 1996a
  end-page: 201
  article-title: Run length distributions and economic design of X charts with unknown process variance
  publication-title: Metrika
– volume: 4
  start-page: 2301
  year: 1987
  end-page: 2307
  article-title: Nature of the maintained discharge of Q, X, and Y retinal ganglion cells of the cat
  publication-title: Journal of the Optical Society of America A
– volume: 43
  start-page: 156
  issue: 2
  year: 2001
  end-page: 167
  article-title: The performance of exponentially weighted moving average charts with estimated parameters
  publication-title: Technometrics
– volume: 59
  start-page: 539
  issue: 3
  year: 1972
  end-page: 549
  article-title: An approach to the probability distribution of CUSUM run length
  publication-title: Biometrika
– volume: 26
  start-page: 311
  year: 1998
  end-page: 322
  article-title: The run length distribution of the R, S, and S2 control charts when is estimated
  publication-title: Communications in Statistics—Simulation and Computation
– year: 1992
– year: 2013
  article-title: Some recent developments on the effects of parameter estimation on control charts
  publication-title: Quality and Reliability Engineering International
– volume: 28
  start-page: 279
  issue: 3
  year: 2012
  end-page: 296
  article-title: On proper choice of variability control chart for normal and non‐normal processes
  publication-title: Quality and Reliability Engineering International
– volume: 29
  start-page: 61
  year: 2000
  end-page: 81
  article-title: Run length, average run length and false alarm rate of Shewhart X chart: exact derivations by conditioning
  publication-title: Communications in Statistics—Simulation and Computation
– volume: 38
  start-page: 349
  year: 2006
  end-page: 364
  article-title: Effects of parameter estimation on control chart properties: a literature review
  publication-title: Journal of Quality Technology
– volume: 32
  start-page: 223
  year: 2003b
  end-page: 239
  article-title: Inverse Gaussian control charts for monitoring process variability
  publication-title: Communications in Statistics—Simulation and Computation
– volume: 44
  start-page: 535
  year: 2003
  end-page: 554
  article-title: R‐charts for the exponential, Laplace and logistic processes
  publication-title: Statistical Papers
– volume: 29
  start-page: 595
  year: 2012
  end-page: 606
  article-title: The performance of the adaptive exponentially weighted moving average control chart with estimated parameters
  publication-title: Quality and Reliability Engineering International
– volume: 32
  start-page: 1
  issue: 1
  year: 1990
  end-page: 12
  article-title: Exponentially moving average control schemes: properties and enhancements
  publication-title: Technometrics
– volume: 31
  start-page: 309
  year: 1999
  end-page: 316
  article-title: Robustness of the EWMA control chart to non‐normality
  publication-title: Journal of Quality Technology
– year: 1995
– volume: 14
  start-page: 834
  year: 2013
  article-title: Characterising ChIP‐seq binding patterns by model‐based peak shape deconvolution
  publication-title: BMC Genomics
– volume: 20
  start-page: 191
  issue: 1
  year: 1991
  end-page: 204
  article-title: A comparison of the Markov chain and the integral equation approaches for evaluating the run length distribution of quality control charts
  publication-title: Communications in Statistics—Simulation and Computation
– volume: 40
  start-page: 332
  issue: 3
  year: 2008
  end-page: 344
  article-title: Estimation of for individuals charts
  publication-title: Journal of Quality Technology
– volume: 34
  start-page: 1069
  year: 2005
  end-page: 1079
  article-title: An examination of the robustness to non normality of the EWMA control charts for the dispersion
  publication-title: Communications in Statistics—Simulation and Computation
– year: 2013
  article-title: On the performance of phase I dispersion control charts for process monitoring
  publication-title: Quality and Reliability Engineering International
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SubjectTerms average run length
Control charts
exponentially weighted moving average
Markov chain
Mathematical models
non-normality
Parameter estimation
Performance evaluation
Process parameters
Robustness
Standard deviation
standard deviation of run length
Symmetry
Title EWMA Control Chart Performance with Estimated Parameters under Non-normality
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