Performance of a guideline-recommended algorithm for prognostication of poor neurological outcome after cardiac arrest

Purpose To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Methods Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temp...

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Published inIntensive care medicine Vol. 46; no. 10; pp. 1852 - 1862
Main Authors Moseby-Knappe, Marion, Westhall, Erik, Backman, Sofia, Mattsson-Carlgren, Niklas, Dragancea, Irina, Lybeck, Anna, Friberg, Hans, Stammet, Pascal, Lilja, Gisela, Horn, Janneke, Kjaergaard, Jesper, Rylander, Christian, Hassager, Christian, Ullén, Susann, Nielsen, Niklas, Cronberg, Tobias
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Berlin/Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg 01.10.2020
Springer
Springer Nature B.V
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0342-4642
1432-1238
1432-1238
DOI10.1007/s00134-020-06080-9

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Abstract Purpose To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Methods Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72–96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3–5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort. Results The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1–44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7–48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) remaining. Conclusion The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6–42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
AbstractList PurposeTo assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM).MethodsRetrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72–96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3–5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort.ResultsThe ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1–44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7–48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) remaining.ConclusionThe ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6–42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72-96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3-5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort. The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1-44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7-48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) remaining. The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6-42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM).PURPOSETo assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM).Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72-96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3-5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort.METHODSRetrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72-96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3-5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort.The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1-44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7-48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) remaining.RESULTSThe ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1-44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7-48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) remaining.The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6-42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.CONCLUSIONThe ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6-42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
Purpose To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Methods Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72–96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3–5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort. Results The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1–44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7–48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) remaining. Conclusion The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6–42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72-96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3-5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort. The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1-44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7-48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) remaining. The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6-42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
© 2020, The Author(s). Purpose: To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Methods: Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72–96h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3–5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort. Results: The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1–44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7–48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) remaining. Conclusion: The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6–42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
Purpose To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Methods Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72-96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3-5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort. Results The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1-44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7-48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8-100) remaining. Conclusion The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6-42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
Purpose: To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM). Methods: Retrospective descriptive analysis with data from the Target Temperature Management (TTM) Trial. Associations between predicted and actual neurological outcome were investigated for each step of the algorithm with results from clinical neurological examinations, neuroradiology (CT or MRI), neurophysiology (EEG and SSEP) and serum neuron-specific enolase. Patients examined with Glasgow Coma Scale Motor Score (GCS-M) on day 4 (72–96 h) post-arrest and available 6-month outcome were included. Poor outcome was defined as Cerebral Performance Category 3–5. Variations of the ERC/ESICM algorithm were explored within the same cohort. Results: The ERC/ESICM algorithm identified poor outcome patients with 38.7% sensitivity (95% CI 33.1–44.7) and 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) in a cohort of 585 patients. An alternative cut-off for serum neuron-specific enolase, an alternative EEG-classification and variations of the GCS-M had minor effects on the sensitivity without causing false positive predictions. The highest overall sensitivity, 42.5% (95% CI 36.7–48.5), was achieved when prognosticating patients irrespective of GCS-M score, with 100% specificity (95% CI 98.8–100) remaining. Conclusion: The ERC/ESICM algorithm and all exploratory multimodal variations thereof investigated in this study predicted poor outcome without false positive predictions and with sensitivities 34.6–42.5%. Our results should be validated prospectively, preferably in patients where withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy is uncommon to exclude any confounding from self-fulfilling prophecies.
Audience Academic
Author Cronberg, Tobias
Moseby-Knappe, Marion
Dragancea, Irina
Mattsson-Carlgren, Niklas
Hassager, Christian
Rylander, Christian
Ullén, Susann
Kjaergaard, Jesper
Lybeck, Anna
Horn, Janneke
Lilja, Gisela
Westhall, Erik
Friberg, Hans
Stammet, Pascal
Nielsen, Niklas
Backman, Sofia
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  organization: Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Neurology, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32494928$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/294263$$DView record from Swedish Publication Index
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ContentType Journal Article
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Center for cardiac arrest
Neurologi, Lund
Institutionen för kliniska vetenskaper, Lund
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MultiPark: Multidisciplinary research focused on Parkinson's disease
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Brain Injury After Cardiac Arrest
Lunds universitet
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Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö
Lund University
Faculty of Medicine
Strategic research areas (SRA)
Klinisk neurofysiologi
Anestesiologi och intensivvård
Profilområden och andra starka forskningsmiljöer
SWECRIT
Institutionen för kliniska vetenskaper, Malmö
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Issue 10
Keywords Coma
Prognostication
Guideline algorithm
Cardiac arrest
Prognostic accuracy
Language English
License Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder.To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.
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PublicationTitle Intensive care medicine
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– reference: 32886207 - Intensive Care Med. 2020 Oct;46(10):1901-1903
SSID ssj0017651
Score 2.5760744
Snippet Purpose To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council...
To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC)...
Purpose To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council...
PurposeTo assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation Council...
© 2020, The Author(s). Purpose: To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the...
Purpose: To assess the performance of a 4-step algorithm for neurological prognostication after cardiac arrest recommended by the European Resuscitation...
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pubmed
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SourceType Open Access Repository
Aggregation Database
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Enrichment Source
Publisher
StartPage 1852
SubjectTerms Algorithms
Anestesi och intensivvård
Anesthesiology
Anesthesiology and Intensive Care
Cardiac arrest
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Disease
Clinical Medicine
Clinical outcomes
Coma
Critical Care Medicine
EEG
Electroencephalography
Emergency Medicine
Guideline algorithm
Heart
Heart attacks
Humans
Hypothermia, Induced
Intensive
Intensive care
Kardiologi och kardiovaskulära sjukdomar
Klinisk medicin
Magnetic resonance imaging
Medical and Health Sciences
Medical prognosis
Medicin och hälsovetenskap
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Neuroimaging
Neurologi
Neurology
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Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest - therapy
Pain Medicine
Pediatrics
Phosphopyruvate Hydratase
Pneumology/Respiratory System
Predictions
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Title Performance of a guideline-recommended algorithm for prognostication of poor neurological outcome after cardiac arrest
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00134-020-06080-9
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32494928
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https://www.proquest.com/docview/2409647280
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC7527324
https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/294263
Volume 46
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