20世纪中国气候变化研究

[1]Chen L X et al.,1991.Preliminary analysis of climatic change during the last 39 years in China.Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2(2): 164-174.(in Chinese) [2]Fu C,2003.Potential impacts of human-induced land cover change on East Asia monsoon.Global and Planetary Change,37: 219-229. [3]Fu...

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Published inJournal of geographical sciences Vol. 14; no. z1; pp. 3 - 11
Main Author 翟盘茂 巢清尘 邹旭恺
Format Journal Article
LanguageChinese
English
Published Laboratory for Climate Studies,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China 2004
National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China
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ISSN1009-637X
1861-9568

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Abstract [1]Chen L X et al.,1991.Preliminary analysis of climatic change during the last 39 years in China.Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2(2): 164-174.(in Chinese) [2]Fu C,2003.Potential impacts of human-induced land cover change on East Asia monsoon.Global and Planetary Change,37: 219-229. [3]Fu C B,Wen G,1999.Variation of ecosystems in East Asia in association with the seasonal,interannual and decadal monsoon climate variability.Climatic Change,43: 477-494. [4]Gong D Y,Shi P J,He X Z,2002.Spatial features of the coupling between spring NDVI and temperature over Northern Hemisphere.Acta Geographica Sinica,57(5): 505-514.(in Chinese) [5]Gong D Y,Wang S W,1999.Impact on global and China′s surface precipitation of ENSO during recent 100years.Chinese Science Bulletin,44(3): 315-320.(in Chinese) [6]Gong D Y,Wang S W,1999.Influence of atmospheric oscillations on Northern Hemispheric temperature.Geographical Research,18(1): 31-38.(in Chinese) [7]Gong D Y,Wang S W,1999.Long-term variability of the Siberian High and the possible connection to global warming.Acta Geographica Sinica,54(2): 125-133.(in Chinese) [8]Gong D Y,Wang S W,2003.Influence of Arctic Oscillation on winter climate over China.Acta Geographica Sinica,58(4): 559-568.(in Chinese) [9]Gong D Y,Zhu J H,Wang S W,2002.Significant relationship between spring AO and the summer rainfall along the Yangtze River.Chinese Science Bulletin,47(11): 948-951.(in Chinese) [10]Groisman PYa,Easterling D,1994.Variability and trends of total precipitation and snowfall over the United States and Canada.J.Climate,7: 184-205. [11]Guo Q Y,1983.The summer monsoon intensity index in East Asia and its variation.Acta Geographica Sinica,38(3): 207-217.(in Chinese) [12]Guo Q Y,Cai J N,Shao X M et al.,2003.Interdecadal variability of East-Asian summer monsoon and its impact on the climate of China.Acta Geographica Sinica,58(4): 569-576.(in Chinese) [13]Ho C-H,Lee J-Y,Ahn M-H et al.,2003.A sudden change in summer rainfall characteristics in Korea during the late 1970s.Int.J.Climatol.,23: 117-128. [14]Huang R H,Xu Y H,Zhou L T,1999.The interdecadal variation of summer precipitations in China and the drought trend in North China.Plateau Meteorology,18(4): 465-476.(in Chinese) [15]IPCC,2001.Climate Change 2001: The Science of Climate Change.In: Houghton J T,Ding Y,Griggs D J et al.(eds.),Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.Cambridge,United Kingdom & New York,NY,USA: Cambridge University Press,156-159. [16]Jiang Z H,Ding Y G,1994.Regional features of interannual variation of rainfall over China in the past 4 decades.Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,17(1): 75-79.(in Chinese) [17]Kerr R A,1999.A new force in high-latitude climate.Science,284: 241-242.Li Q X,Liu X N,Li X Q,2002.Drought trend in North China in recent half century.Journal of Natural Disasters,11(3): 50-56.(in Chinese) [18]Li X W,Zhou X J,Li W L,1995.The cooling of Sichuan Province in recent 40 years and its probable mechanisms.Acta Meteorologica Sinica,9(1): 57-68. [19]Lin X C,Yu S Q,Tang G L,1995.Series of average air temperature over China for the last 100-year period.Scientia Atmospherica Sinica,19(5): 525-534.(in Chinese) [20]Lu R Y,2003.Liner relationship between inter-annual and inter-decadal variation in flood season precipitation in North China.Chinese Science Bulletin,48(7): 718-722.(in Chinese) [21]Ma Z G,Fu C B,2001.Trend of surface humid index in the arid area of Northern China.Acta Meteorologica Sinica,59(6): 737-746.(in Chinese) [22]Ma Z G,Fu C B,2003.Interannual characteristics of the surface hydrological variables over the arid and semi-arid areas of northern China under global warming.Global and Planetary Change,37: 189-200. [23]Menon S,Hansen J,Nazarenko L et al.,2002.Climate effects of black carbon aerosols in China and India.Science,297: 2250-2253. [24]National Climate Center,1998.Severe Flood in China.Beijing: Meteorological Press,78pp.(in Chinese) [25]Qian W H,Hu Q,Zhu Y F et al.,2003.Centennial-scale dry-wet variations in East Asia.Climate Dynamics,21:77-89. [26]Ren F M,Zhai P M,1998.Study on changes of China′s extreme temperatures during 1951-1990.Scientia A tmospherica Sinica,22(2): 217-227.(in Chinese) [27]Ren G Y,Wu H,Chen Z H,2000.Spatial patterns of change trend in rainfall of China.Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,11(3): 322-330.(in Chinese) [28]Sha W Y,Shao X M,Huang M,2002.Climate warming and its impact on natural regional boundaries in China in the 1980s.Science in China (Series D),45(12): 1099-1113.(in Chinese) [29]Shi N,Zhu Q G,Wu B G,1996.The East Asian summer monsoon in relation to summer large scale weather-climate anomaly in China for last 40 years.Scientia Atmospherica Sinica,20(5): 575-583.(in Chinese) [30]Shi N et al.,2000.A preliminary study of the northern winter SLP climate base state and its climate variability and effects.Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,20(5): 575-583.(in Chinese) [31]Shi Y F,Shen Y P,Hu R J,2002.Preliminary study on signal,impact and foreground of climatic shift from warm-dry to warm-humid in Northwest China.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,24(3): 219-226. [32]Thompson,D W J,Wallace J M,1998.The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields.Geophys.Res.Lett.,25: 1297-1300. [33]Tu Q P,1984.Trend and periodicity of temperature change in China during the last hundred years.Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,7(2): 151-161.(in Chinese) [34]Tu Q P,1987.Variation of precipitation over China in the past 100 years.Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meterology,10(2): 177-187.(in Chinese) [35]Wallace J M,2000.North Atlantic Oscillation/Annular Mode: two paradigms-one phenomenon.Quart.J Royal Met.Soc.,126(564): 791-805. [36]Wang S W,1990.Variation of temperature in China for the 100 year period in comparison with global temperatures.Meteorological Monthly,16(2): 11-15.(in Chinese) [37]Wang S W,2001.Progress on Modern Climatology.Beijing: Meteorological Press,472pp.(in Chinese) [38]Wang S W,Gong D Y,1999. ENSO events and intensity in the recent 100 years. Meteorological Monthly,25(1):9-13. (in Chinese) [39]Wang S W,Gong D Y,2000. Enhancement of the warming trend in China. Geophys. Res. Lett.,27 (16):2581-2584. [40]Wang S W et al.,2003. 2002 is the second warmest year in the recent 100 years. Climate Change Newsletter,3:11-12. (in Chinese) [41]Wang S W,Gong D Y,Ye J L et al.,2000. Seasonal precipitation series of eastern China since 1880 and the variability. Acta Geographica Sinica,55(3): 281-293. (in Chinese) [42]Wang Z W, Zhai P M, 2003. Variation of drought over northern China during 1950-2000. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 13(4): 480-487. [43]Xu Q, 2001. Abrupt change of the mid-summer climate in central east China by the influence of atmospheric pollution. A tmospheric Environment, 35(20): 5029-5040. [44]Yan Z W, Zhang M L, 1992. On change of China′s temperature and its daily range in the recent years. Chinese Science Bulletin, 38(14): 1295-1298. (in Chinese) [45]Yang H J, Zhang Q, 2003. On the decadal and interdecadal variability in the Pacific Ocean. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 20(2): 173-184. [46]Yao T D et al., 2000. Amplitude of climatic change in Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Chinese Science Bulletin, 45(13). [47]Ye D Z, R Huang H, 1996. Investigation on laws and causes of droughts and floods in the Yellow and Yangtze river valleys of China. Jinan: Shandong Science and Technology Press, 387pp. (in Chinese) [48]Zhang X, Vincent L A, Hogg W D et al., 2000. Temperature and precipitation trends in Canada during the 20th Century. A tmosphere-Ocean, 38: 395-429. [49]Zhang X G, Li X Q, 1982. Some characteristics of temperature variation in China in the present century. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 40(2): 198-208. (in Chinese) [50]Zhai P M, Ren F M, 1999. On change of China′s maximum and minimum temperatures in 1951-1990. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 13(2): 278-290. [51]Zhai P M, Sun A, Ren F et al., 1999. Changes of climate extremes in China. Climatic Change, 42: 203-218. [52]Zhai P M, Pan X H, 2003. Trends in temperature extremes during 1951-1999 in China. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(17): 1913. [53]Zhao Z G, 1996. Influence of El Nino phenomenon on general circulation and China′s precipitation. Atmospheric Science, (4): 422-428. (in Chinese) [54]Zhao Z C, 2003. The recent hot study on climate change: introduction of IUGG 2003. Climate Change Newsletter,2(4): 14-15. (in Chinese) [55]Zheng Y Q, Qian Y F, Miao M Q, 2002. The effects of vegetation change on regional climate Ⅰ: simulation results. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 60(1): 1-16. (in Chinese) [56]Zhu Q G et al., 1997. The long-term change of atmospheric active centers in northern winter and its correlation with China climate in recent 100 year. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 55(6): 750-758. (in Chinese)
AbstractList Studies on the 20th century climate change in China have revealed that under the background of global warming over the past century,climate in China has also experienced significant change with mean annual temperature increased by about 0.5 °C.More reliable results for the latter part of the 20th century indicate that the largest warming occurred in Northwest China,North China and Northeast China,and the warming in winter is most significant.Although no obvious increase or decrease trends were detected for mean precipitation over China in the past half century,regional differences are very distinct.In the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River,precipitation increased,while that in the Yellow River Basin markedly decreased.Studies suggest that climate change in China seems to be related not only with the internal factors such as ENSO,PDO,and the others,but also with the anthropogenic effects such as greenhouse gas emissions,and land use.The future climate change studies in China seem to be important in narrowing understanding the nature of China's climate change and its main causes,since it is significant for projection and for impact assessment of climate change in the future.
[1]Chen L X et al.,1991.Preliminary analysis of climatic change during the last 39 years in China.Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2(2): 164-174.(in Chinese) [2]Fu C,2003.Potential impacts of human-induced land cover change on East Asia monsoon.Global and Planetary Change,37: 219-229. [3]Fu C B,Wen G,1999.Variation of ecosystems in East Asia in association with the seasonal,interannual and decadal monsoon climate variability.Climatic Change,43: 477-494. [4]Gong D Y,Shi P J,He X Z,2002.Spatial features of the coupling between spring NDVI and temperature over Northern Hemisphere.Acta Geographica Sinica,57(5): 505-514.(in Chinese) [5]Gong D Y,Wang S W,1999.Impact on global and China′s surface precipitation of ENSO during recent 100years.Chinese Science Bulletin,44(3): 315-320.(in Chinese) [6]Gong D Y,Wang S W,1999.Influence of atmospheric oscillations on Northern Hemispheric temperature.Geographical Research,18(1): 31-38.(in Chinese) [7]Gong D Y,Wang S W,1999.Long-term variability of the Siberian High and the possible connection to global warming.Acta Geographica Sinica,54(2): 125-133.(in Chinese) [8]Gong D Y,Wang S W,2003.Influence of Arctic Oscillation on winter climate over China.Acta Geographica Sinica,58(4): 559-568.(in Chinese) [9]Gong D Y,Zhu J H,Wang S W,2002.Significant relationship between spring AO and the summer rainfall along the Yangtze River.Chinese Science Bulletin,47(11): 948-951.(in Chinese) [10]Groisman PYa,Easterling D,1994.Variability and trends of total precipitation and snowfall over the United States and Canada.J.Climate,7: 184-205. [11]Guo Q Y,1983.The summer monsoon intensity index in East Asia and its variation.Acta Geographica Sinica,38(3): 207-217.(in Chinese) [12]Guo Q Y,Cai J N,Shao X M et al.,2003.Interdecadal variability of East-Asian summer monsoon and its impact on the climate of China.Acta Geographica Sinica,58(4): 569-576.(in Chinese) [13]Ho C-H,Lee J-Y,Ahn M-H et al.,2003.A sudden change in summer rainfall characteristics in Korea during the late 1970s.Int.J.Climatol.,23: 117-128. [14]Huang R H,Xu Y H,Zhou L T,1999.The interdecadal variation of summer precipitations in China and the drought trend in North China.Plateau Meteorology,18(4): 465-476.(in Chinese) [15]IPCC,2001.Climate Change 2001: The Science of Climate Change.In: Houghton J T,Ding Y,Griggs D J et al.(eds.),Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.Cambridge,United Kingdom & New York,NY,USA: Cambridge University Press,156-159. [16]Jiang Z H,Ding Y G,1994.Regional features of interannual variation of rainfall over China in the past 4 decades.Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,17(1): 75-79.(in Chinese) [17]Kerr R A,1999.A new force in high-latitude climate.Science,284: 241-242.Li Q X,Liu X N,Li X Q,2002.Drought trend in North China in recent half century.Journal of Natural Disasters,11(3): 50-56.(in Chinese) [18]Li X W,Zhou X J,Li W L,1995.The cooling of Sichuan Province in recent 40 years and its probable mechanisms.Acta Meteorologica Sinica,9(1): 57-68. [19]Lin X C,Yu S Q,Tang G L,1995.Series of average air temperature over China for the last 100-year period.Scientia Atmospherica Sinica,19(5): 525-534.(in Chinese) [20]Lu R Y,2003.Liner relationship between inter-annual and inter-decadal variation in flood season precipitation in North China.Chinese Science Bulletin,48(7): 718-722.(in Chinese) [21]Ma Z G,Fu C B,2001.Trend of surface humid index in the arid area of Northern China.Acta Meteorologica Sinica,59(6): 737-746.(in Chinese) [22]Ma Z G,Fu C B,2003.Interannual characteristics of the surface hydrological variables over the arid and semi-arid areas of northern China under global warming.Global and Planetary Change,37: 189-200. [23]Menon S,Hansen J,Nazarenko L et al.,2002.Climate effects of black carbon aerosols in China and India.Science,297: 2250-2253. [24]National Climate Center,1998.Severe Flood in China.Beijing: Meteorological Press,78pp.(in Chinese) [25]Qian W H,Hu Q,Zhu Y F et al.,2003.Centennial-scale dry-wet variations in East Asia.Climate Dynamics,21:77-89. [26]Ren F M,Zhai P M,1998.Study on changes of China′s extreme temperatures during 1951-1990.Scientia A tmospherica Sinica,22(2): 217-227.(in Chinese) [27]Ren G Y,Wu H,Chen Z H,2000.Spatial patterns of change trend in rainfall of China.Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,11(3): 322-330.(in Chinese) [28]Sha W Y,Shao X M,Huang M,2002.Climate warming and its impact on natural regional boundaries in China in the 1980s.Science in China (Series D),45(12): 1099-1113.(in Chinese) [29]Shi N,Zhu Q G,Wu B G,1996.The East Asian summer monsoon in relation to summer large scale weather-climate anomaly in China for last 40 years.Scientia Atmospherica Sinica,20(5): 575-583.(in Chinese) [30]Shi N et al.,2000.A preliminary study of the northern winter SLP climate base state and its climate variability and effects.Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,20(5): 575-583.(in Chinese) [31]Shi Y F,Shen Y P,Hu R J,2002.Preliminary study on signal,impact and foreground of climatic shift from warm-dry to warm-humid in Northwest China.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,24(3): 219-226. [32]Thompson,D W J,Wallace J M,1998.The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields.Geophys.Res.Lett.,25: 1297-1300. [33]Tu Q P,1984.Trend and periodicity of temperature change in China during the last hundred years.Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,7(2): 151-161.(in Chinese) [34]Tu Q P,1987.Variation of precipitation over China in the past 100 years.Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meterology,10(2): 177-187.(in Chinese) [35]Wallace J M,2000.North Atlantic Oscillation/Annular Mode: two paradigms-one phenomenon.Quart.J Royal Met.Soc.,126(564): 791-805. [36]Wang S W,1990.Variation of temperature in China for the 100 year period in comparison with global temperatures.Meteorological Monthly,16(2): 11-15.(in Chinese) [37]Wang S W,2001.Progress on Modern Climatology.Beijing: Meteorological Press,472pp.(in Chinese) [38]Wang S W,Gong D Y,1999. ENSO events and intensity in the recent 100 years. Meteorological Monthly,25(1):9-13. (in Chinese) [39]Wang S W,Gong D Y,2000. Enhancement of the warming trend in China. Geophys. Res. Lett.,27 (16):2581-2584. [40]Wang S W et al.,2003. 2002 is the second warmest year in the recent 100 years. Climate Change Newsletter,3:11-12. (in Chinese) [41]Wang S W,Gong D Y,Ye J L et al.,2000. Seasonal precipitation series of eastern China since 1880 and the variability. Acta Geographica Sinica,55(3): 281-293. (in Chinese) [42]Wang Z W, Zhai P M, 2003. Variation of drought over northern China during 1950-2000. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 13(4): 480-487. [43]Xu Q, 2001. Abrupt change of the mid-summer climate in central east China by the influence of atmospheric pollution. A tmospheric Environment, 35(20): 5029-5040. [44]Yan Z W, Zhang M L, 1992. On change of China′s temperature and its daily range in the recent years. Chinese Science Bulletin, 38(14): 1295-1298. (in Chinese) [45]Yang H J, Zhang Q, 2003. On the decadal and interdecadal variability in the Pacific Ocean. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 20(2): 173-184. [46]Yao T D et al., 2000. Amplitude of climatic change in Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Chinese Science Bulletin, 45(13). [47]Ye D Z, R Huang H, 1996. Investigation on laws and causes of droughts and floods in the Yellow and Yangtze river valleys of China. Jinan: Shandong Science and Technology Press, 387pp. (in Chinese) [48]Zhang X, Vincent L A, Hogg W D et al., 2000. Temperature and precipitation trends in Canada during the 20th Century. A tmosphere-Ocean, 38: 395-429. [49]Zhang X G, Li X Q, 1982. Some characteristics of temperature variation in China in the present century. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 40(2): 198-208. (in Chinese) [50]Zhai P M, Ren F M, 1999. On change of China′s maximum and minimum temperatures in 1951-1990. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 13(2): 278-290. [51]Zhai P M, Sun A, Ren F et al., 1999. Changes of climate extremes in China. Climatic Change, 42: 203-218. [52]Zhai P M, Pan X H, 2003. Trends in temperature extremes during 1951-1999 in China. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(17): 1913. [53]Zhao Z G, 1996. Influence of El Nino phenomenon on general circulation and China′s precipitation. Atmospheric Science, (4): 422-428. (in Chinese) [54]Zhao Z C, 2003. The recent hot study on climate change: introduction of IUGG 2003. Climate Change Newsletter,2(4): 14-15. (in Chinese) [55]Zheng Y Q, Qian Y F, Miao M Q, 2002. The effects of vegetation change on regional climate Ⅰ: simulation results. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 60(1): 1-16. (in Chinese) [56]Zhu Q G et al., 1997. The long-term change of atmospheric active centers in northern winter and its correlation with China climate in recent 100 year. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 55(6): 750-758. (in Chinese)
Author 翟盘茂 巢清尘 邹旭恺
AuthorAffiliation Laboratory for Climate Studies,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China; National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China
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Keywords 20th century
China
climate change
Language Chinese
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PublicationTitle Journal of geographical sciences
PublicationTitleAlternate Journal of Geographical Sciences
PublicationTitle_FL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
PublicationYear 2004
Publisher Laboratory for Climate Studies,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China
National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China
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Snippet [1]Chen L X et al.,1991.Preliminary analysis of climatic change during the last 39 years in China.Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2(2): 164-174.(in...
Studies on the 20th century climate change in China have revealed that under the background of global warming over the past century,climate in China has also...
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Title 20世纪中国气候变化研究
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