日本对外直接投资的空间格局及其与出口贸易的关系研究
21世纪以来，日本经济陷入低迷，但其对外直接投资却呈现增长趋势，且其空间格局及其与日本出口之间的关系也表现出新的特点。本文从大洲和国家/地区两个尺度对日本21世纪以来对外直接投资的全球格局进行了分析；在此基础上，对日本OFDI与其出口之间的关系进行了格兰杰因果检验，结果表明：（1）2000—2022年，日本的OFDI全球格局的演变经历了“亚洲上升欧美下降”“欧美回升亚洲稳定”和“北美上升欧亚回落”三个阶段；美国一直是日本对外直接投资的首要目的地，日本对中国的直接投资经历了近20年的高速增长后增速有所回落；（2）格兰杰因果检验显示，日本的对外直接投资与其出口之间的关系存在区域差异：对东亚东南亚的...
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| Published in | 世界地理研究 Vol. 33; no. 5; pp. 73 - 86 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | Chinese |
| Published |
中国地理学会
15.05.2024
华东师范大学世界地理与地缘战略研究中心,上海 200062%中国浦东干部学院,上海 201204 华东师范大学地理科学学院,上海 200062 |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 1004-9479 |
| DOI | 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9479.2024.05.202308910 |
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| Abstract | 21世纪以来，日本经济陷入低迷，但其对外直接投资却呈现增长趋势，且其空间格局及其与日本出口之间的关系也表现出新的特点。本文从大洲和国家/地区两个尺度对日本21世纪以来对外直接投资的全球格局进行了分析；在此基础上，对日本OFDI与其出口之间的关系进行了格兰杰因果检验，结果表明：（1）2000—2022年，日本的OFDI全球格局的演变经历了“亚洲上升欧美下降”“欧美回升亚洲稳定”和“北美上升欧亚回落”三个阶段；美国一直是日本对外直接投资的首要目的地，日本对中国的直接投资经历了近20年的高速增长后增速有所回落；（2）格兰杰因果检验显示，日本的对外直接投资与其出口之间的关系存在区域差异：对东亚东南亚的直接投资对其出口有促进作用；对欧洲的直接投资对其出口有替代作用；对北美的直接投资与其出口之间没有因果关系；（3）日本对三大区域直接投资的产业结构差异和三大区域日资企业的采购来源差异可以解释三大区域格兰杰因果检验的差异。日本对外直接投资与出口贸易之间的关系研究可以为我国制定对外直接投资政策提供参考。 |
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| AbstractList | 21世纪以来，日本经济陷入低迷，但其对外直接投资却呈现增长趋势，且其空间格局及其与日本出口之间的关系也表现出新的特点。本文从大洲和国家/地区两个尺度对日本21世纪以来对外直接投资的全球格局进行了分析；在此基础上，对日本OFDI与其出口之间的关系进行了格兰杰因果检验，结果表明：（1）2000—2022年，日本的OFDI全球格局的演变经历了“亚洲上升欧美下降”“欧美回升亚洲稳定”和“北美上升欧亚回落”三个阶段；美国一直是日本对外直接投资的首要目的地，日本对中国的直接投资经历了近20年的高速增长后增速有所回落；（2）格兰杰因果检验显示，日本的对外直接投资与其出口之间的关系存在区域差异：对东亚东南亚的直接投资对其出口有促进作用；对欧洲的直接投资对其出口有替代作用；对北美的直接投资与其出口之间没有因果关系；（3）日本对三大区域直接投资的产业结构差异和三大区域日资企业的采购来源差异可以解释三大区域格兰杰因果检验的差异。日本对外直接投资与出口贸易之间的关系研究可以为我国制定对外直接投资政策提供参考。 21世纪以来,日本经济陷入低迷,但其对外直接投资却呈现增长趋势,且其空间格局及其与日本出口之间的关系也表现出新的特点.本文从大洲和国家/地区两个尺度对日本21世纪以来对外直接投资的全球格局进行了分析;在此基础上,对日本OFDI与其出口之间的关系进行了格兰杰因果检验,结果表明:①2000-2022年,日本的OFDI全球格局的演变经历了"亚洲上升欧美下降""欧美回升亚洲稳定"和"北美上升欧亚回落"三个阶段;美国一直是日本对外直接投资的首要目的地,日本对中国的直接投资经历了近20年的高速增长后增速有所回落;②格兰杰因果检验显示,日本的对外直接投资与其出口之间的关系存在区域差异:对东亚东南亚的直接投资对其出口有促进作用;对欧洲的直接投资对其出口有替代作用;对北美的直接投资与其出口之间没有因果关系;③日本对三大区域直接投资的产业结构差异和三大区域日资企业的采购来源差异可以解释三大区域格兰杰因果检验的差异.日本对外直接投资与出口贸易之间的关系研究可以为我国制定对外直接投资政策提供参考. |
| Abstract_FL | Since the 21st century,Japan's economy has been in a downturn,but its outward for-eign direct investment has shown a growing trend,and its spatial pattern and its relationship with Japanese exports have also shown different characteristics from those of the 1990s.This article analyzed the global pattern of Japan's outward foreign direct investment since the 21st century based on the flow and stock data of Japan's outward foreign direct investment;and took three main regions of Japanese OFDI destinations as examples,this article conducted a Granger cau-sality test on the relationship between Japan's OFDI and its exports.The results are as follows:①From 2000 to 2022,the global pattern of Japan's OFDI underwent three stages:"Asia rising and Europe falling","Europe and America rebounding and Asia stabilizing",and"North America rising and Europe Asia falling";The U.S.had been the biggest destination in attracting Japanese OFDI;China's Japanese OFDI had experienced fast increase for nearly twenty years,but its in-crease rate had slowed down;② Granger causality test shows that there are regional differences between Japan's outward foreign direct investment and its exports:Japan's direct investment in East Asia and Southeast Asia has a promoting effect on its exports;Japan's direct investment in Europe has a substitute effect on its exports;There is no causal relationship between direct in-vestment in North America and Japan's export to this region;③ The differences in industrial structure of Japan's direct investment in the three major regions and the procurement sources of Japanese overseas enterprises in the three regions can explain the differences in the Granger cau-sality test in the three regions.The study of the relationship between Japan's outward foreign di-rect investment and export trade can provide reference for China to formulate outward foreign di-rect investment policies. |
| Author | 宋韬 楚天骄 |
| AuthorAffiliation | 华东师范大学地理科学学院,上海 200062;华东师范大学世界地理与地缘战略研究中心,上海 200062%中国浦东干部学院,上海 201204 |
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| Author_FL | CHU Tianjiao SONG Tao |
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