愿景驱动的中国工程科技2040发展战略研究
当前，全球科技创新空前密集和活跃，科技和产业形态正在发生体系性变革，工程科技的颠覆性创新和体系创新已经成为战略竞争的焦点。本文基于我国工程科技发展需求和世界发展趋势，提出“经济预测-需求分析-技术预见-愿景分析-战略架构-技术路线图-政策选择”战略研究方法体系，预测了我国2040年经济社会的发展态势，描绘了2040年我国社会发展的九大综合愿景。在主要领域工程科技发展战略研究的基础上，围绕九大综合愿景提出“力推信息科技、重塑能源体系、革新产业科技、建构未来城市、发展蓝色经济、提振农业农村、护佑全民健康、建设美丽中国、构筑平安中国”的工程科技发展总体战略构想，以及从现在到2040年“强基固链、打造...
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| Published in | 中国工程科学 Vol. 26; no. 5; pp. 1 - 14 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | Chinese |
| Published |
中国工程院战略咨询中心
20.10.2024
高等教育出版社有限公司 |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 1009-1742 |
| DOI | 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2024.05.001 |
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| Abstract | 当前，全球科技创新空前密集和活跃，科技和产业形态正在发生体系性变革，工程科技的颠覆性创新和体系创新已经成为战略竞争的焦点。本文基于我国工程科技发展需求和世界发展趋势，提出“经济预测-需求分析-技术预见-愿景分析-战略架构-技术路线图-政策选择”战略研究方法体系，预测了我国2040年经济社会的发展态势，描绘了2040年我国社会发展的九大综合愿景。在主要领域工程科技发展战略研究的基础上，围绕九大综合愿景提出“力推信息科技、重塑能源体系、革新产业科技、建构未来城市、发展蓝色经济、提振农业农村、护佑全民健康、建设美丽中国、构筑平安中国”的工程科技发展总体战略构想，以及从现在到2040年“强基固链、打造高原、开辟赛道”“安全韧性、策源引领、体系焕新”的两阶段中国工程科技总体发展路线。 |
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| AbstractList | T-01; 当前,全球科技创新空前密集和活跃,科技和产业形态正在发生体系性变革,工程科技的颠覆性创新和体系创新已经成为战略竞争的焦点.本文基于我国工程科技发展需求和世界发展趋势,提出"经济预测-需求分析-技术预见-愿景分析-战略架构-技术路线图-政策选择"战略研究方法体系,预测了我国2040年经济社会的发展态势,描绘了2040年我国社会发展的九大综合愿景.在主要领域工程科技发展战略研究的基础上,围绕九大综合愿景提出"力推信息科技、重塑能源体系、革新产业科技、建构未来城市、发展蓝色经济、提振农业农村、护佑全民健康、建设美丽中国、构筑平安中国"的工程科技发展总体战略构想,以及从现在到2040年"强基固链、打造高原、开辟赛道""安全韧性、策源引领、体系焕新"的两阶段中国工程科技总体发展路线. 当前，全球科技创新空前密集和活跃，科技和产业形态正在发生体系性变革，工程科技的颠覆性创新和体系创新已经成为战略竞争的焦点。本文基于我国工程科技发展需求和世界发展趋势，提出“经济预测-需求分析-技术预见-愿景分析-战略架构-技术路线图-政策选择”战略研究方法体系，预测了我国2040年经济社会的发展态势，描绘了2040年我国社会发展的九大综合愿景。在主要领域工程科技发展战略研究的基础上，围绕九大综合愿景提出“力推信息科技、重塑能源体系、革新产业科技、建构未来城市、发展蓝色经济、提振农业农村、护佑全民健康、建设美丽中国、构筑平安中国”的工程科技发展总体战略构想，以及从现在到2040年“强基固链、打造高原、开辟赛道”“安全韧性、策源引领、体系焕新”的两阶段中国工程科技总体发展路线。 |
| Abstract_FL | Currently,global technological innovation is unprecedentedly intensive and active,and the forms of technology and industry are undergoing systematic changes.Disruptive and systemic innovations in engineering science and technology have become the focus of strategic competition.Based on the development demand for engineering science and technology in China and the world trends of engineering science and technology development,this study proposes a strategic research method system that consists of economic forecasting,demand analysis,technology foresight,vision analysis,strategic architecture,technology roadmap,and policy selection.The study also predicts the economic and social development trends in China by 2040 and depicts nine visions of Chinese society in 2040.Based on the strategic research on the development of engineering science and technology in major fields,an overall strategic concept of engineering science and technology development is proposed centering on the nine visions,which involves promoting information technologies,reshaping the energy system,innovating industrial science and technologies,constructing the future cities,developing the blue economy,revitalizing agriculture and the rural areas,safeguarding the health of all the people,building a beautiful China,and constructing a safe China.An overall two-stage roadmap for engineering science and technology development between now and 2040 is also proposed.At the first stage,it is necessary to strengthen the industrial foundation and chain,achieve international leadership in major fields of engineering science and technology,and develop new areas and technologies with core competitiveness.At the second stage,it is suggested to focus on security,resilience,and original innovation and build a new technological ecosystem. |
| Author | "中国工程科技2040发展战略研究"总体项目组 周晓纪 |
| Author_FL | Comprehensive Research Group of Research on China's Engineering Science and Technology Development Strategy to 2040 Zhou Xiaoji |
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