Heat waves: a hot topic in climate change research

Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dea...

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Published inTheoretical and applied climatology Vol. 146; no. 1-2; pp. 781 - 800
Main Authors Marx, Werner, Haunschild, Robin, Bornmann, Lutz
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Vienna Springer Vienna 01.10.2021
Springer
Springer Nature B.V
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0177-798X
1434-4483
DOI10.1007/s00704-021-03758-y

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Abstract Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dealing with heat waves. No summarizing overview has been published on this literature hitherto. We developed a suitable search query to retrieve the relevant literature covered by the Web of Science (WoS) as complete as possible and to exclude irrelevant literature ( n  = 8,011 papers). The time evolution of the publications shows that research dealing with heat waves is a highly dynamic research topic, doubling within about 5 years. An analysis of the thematic content reveals the most severe heat wave events within the recent decades (1995 and 2003), the cities and countries/regions affected (USA, Europe, and Australia), and the ecological and medical impacts (drought, urban heat islands, excess hospital admissions, and mortality). An alarming finding is that the limit for survivability may be reached at the end of the twenty-first century in many regions of the world due to the fatal combination of rising temperatures and humidity levels measured as “wet-bulb temperature” (WBT). Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified 104 citation classics, which include fundamental early works of research on heat waves and more recent works (which are characterized by a relatively strong connection to climate change).
AbstractList Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dealing with heat waves. No summarizing overview has been published on this literature hitherto. We developed a suitable search query to retrieve the relevant literature covered by the Web of Science (WoS) as complete as possible and to exclude irrelevant literature ( n  = 8,011 papers). The time evolution of the publications shows that research dealing with heat waves is a highly dynamic research topic, doubling within about 5 years. An analysis of the thematic content reveals the most severe heat wave events within the recent decades (1995 and 2003), the cities and countries/regions affected (USA, Europe, and Australia), and the ecological and medical impacts (drought, urban heat islands, excess hospital admissions, and mortality). An alarming finding is that the limit for survivability may be reached at the end of the twenty-first century in many regions of the world due to the fatal combination of rising temperatures and humidity levels measured as “wet-bulb temperature” (WBT). Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified 104 citation classics, which include fundamental early works of research on heat waves and more recent works (which are characterized by a relatively strong connection to climate change).
Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dealing with heat waves. No summarizing overview has been published on this literature hitherto. We developed a suitable search query to retrieve the relevant literature covered by the Web of Science (WoS) as complete as possible and to exclude irrelevant literature (n = 8,011 papers). The time evolution of the publications shows that research dealing with heat waves is a highly dynamic research topic, doubling within about 5 years. An analysis of the thematic content reveals the most severe heat wave events within the recent decades (1995 and 2003), the cities and countries/regions affected (USA, Europe, and Australia), and the ecological and medical impacts (drought, urban heat islands, excess hospital admissions, and mortality). An alarming finding is that the limit for survivability may be reached at the end of the twenty-first century in many regions of the world due to the fatal combination of rising temperatures and humidity levels measured as “wet-bulb temperature” (WBT). Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified 104 citation classics, which include fundamental early works of research on heat waves and more recent works (which are characterized by a relatively strong connection to climate change).
Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dealing with heat waves. No summarizing overview has been published on this literature hitherto. We developed a suitable search query to retrieve the relevant literature covered by the Web of Science (WoS) as complete as possible and to exclude irrelevant literature (  = 8,011 papers). The time evolution of the publications shows that research dealing with heat waves is a highly dynamic research topic, doubling within about 5 years. An analysis of the thematic content reveals the most severe heat wave events within the recent decades (1995 and 2003), the cities and countries/regions affected (USA, Europe, and Australia), and the ecological and medical impacts (drought, urban heat islands, excess hospital admissions, and mortality). An alarming finding is that the limit for survivability may be reached at the end of the twenty-first century in many regions of the world due to the fatal combination of rising temperatures and humidity levels measured as "wet-bulb temperature" (WBT). Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified 104 citation classics, which include fundamental early works of research on heat waves and more recent works (which are characterized by a relatively strong connection to climate change).
Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dealing with heat waves. No summarizing overview has been published on this literature hitherto. We developed a suitable search query to retrieve the relevant literature covered by the Web of Science (WoS) as complete as possible and to exclude irrelevant literature (n = 8,011 papers). The time evolution of the publications shows that research dealing with heat waves is a highly dynamic research topic, doubling within about 5 years. An analysis of the thematic content reveals the most severe heat wave events within the recent decades (1995 and 2003), the cities and countries/regions affected (USA, Europe, and Australia), and the ecological and medical impacts (drought, urban heat islands, excess hospital admissions, and mortality). An alarming finding is that the limit for survivability may be reached at the end of the twenty-first century in many regions of the world due to the fatal combination of rising temperatures and humidity levels measured as "wet-bulb temperature" (WBT). Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified 104 citation classics, which include fundamental early works of research on heat waves and more recent works (which are characterized by a relatively strong connection to climate change).Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of climate change research with high relevance for the whole of society. In this study, we analyzed the rapidly growing scientific literature dealing with heat waves. No summarizing overview has been published on this literature hitherto. We developed a suitable search query to retrieve the relevant literature covered by the Web of Science (WoS) as complete as possible and to exclude irrelevant literature (n = 8,011 papers). The time evolution of the publications shows that research dealing with heat waves is a highly dynamic research topic, doubling within about 5 years. An analysis of the thematic content reveals the most severe heat wave events within the recent decades (1995 and 2003), the cities and countries/regions affected (USA, Europe, and Australia), and the ecological and medical impacts (drought, urban heat islands, excess hospital admissions, and mortality). An alarming finding is that the limit for survivability may be reached at the end of the twenty-first century in many regions of the world due to the fatal combination of rising temperatures and humidity levels measured as "wet-bulb temperature" (WBT). Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified 104 citation classics, which include fundamental early works of research on heat waves and more recent works (which are characterized by a relatively strong connection to climate change).
Audience Academic
Author Haunschild, Robin
Bornmann, Lutz
Marx, Werner
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  surname: Bornmann
  fullname: Bornmann, Lutz
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BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34493886$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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References MeehlGATebaldiCMore intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st centuryScience200430599499710.1126/science.1098704
MarxWBornmannLChange of perspective: Bibliometrics from the point of view of cited references. A literature overview on approaches to the evaluation of cited references in bibliometricsScientometrics201610921397141510.1007/s11192-016-2111-2
Im ES, Pal JS, Eltahir EAB (2017) Deadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia. Science Advances 3(8): article number e1603322. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1603322
CominsJAHusseyTWDetecting seminal research contributions to the development and use of the global positioning system by Reference Publication Year SpectroscopyScientometrics201510457558010.1007/s11192-015-1598-2
MoraCDoussetBCaldwellIGlobal risk of deadly heatNat Clim Chang2017750150610.1038/nclimate3322
ThorABornmannLMarxWMutzRIdentifying single influential publications in a research field: new analysis opportunities of the CRExplorerScientometrics2018116159160810.1007/s11192-018-2733-7
FouilletAReyGLaurentFPavillonGBellecSGuihenneuc-JouyauxCClavelJJouglaEHemonDExcess mortality related to the August 2003 heat wave in FranceInt Arch Occup Environ Health2006801162410.1007/s00420-006-0089-4
NCA4 2018: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II: impacts, risks, and adaptation in the United States. https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/ NCA 2018 Report-in-Brief: https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/downloads/NCA4_Report-in-Brief.pdf
TahamtanIBornmannLWhat do citation counts measure? An updated review of studies on citations in scientific documents published between 2006 and 2018Scientometrics20191211635168410.1007/s11192-019-03243-4
CSSR 2017: Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 470, https://doi.org/10.7930/J0J964J6, https://science2017.globalchange.gov/downloads/CSSR2017_FullReport.pdf
ThorAMarxWLeydesdorffLBornmannLIntroducing CitedReferencesExplorer (CRExplorer): a program for Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy with cited references disambiguationJ Informet20161050351510.1016/j.joi.2016.02.005
Broennimann S, Stickler A, Griesser T, Ewen T, Grant AN, Fischer AM, Schraner M, Peter T, Rozanov E, Ross T (2009) Exceptional atmospheric circulation during the "Dust Bowl". Geophysical Research Letters 36: article number L08802. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037612
KatsouyanniKPantazopoulouATouloumiGTselepidakiIMoustrisKAsimakopoulosDPoulopoulouGTrichopoulosDEvidence for interaction between air-pollution and high-temperature in the causation of excess mortalityArch Environ Health199348423524210.1080/00039896.1993.9940365
Van EckNJWaltmanLSoftware survey: VOSviewer, a computer program for bibliometric mappingScientometrics201084252353810.1007/s11192-009-0146-3
IPCC 2014: Climate Change, Summary for Policymakers. In: IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/AR5_SYR_FINAL_SPM.pdf
CoumouDLehmannJBeckmannJThe weakening summer circulation in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudesScience201534832432710.1126/science.1261768
MarxWBornmannLBarthALeydesdorffLDetecting the historical roots of research fields by Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy (RPYS)J Am Soc Inf Sci20146575176410.1002/asi.23089
BornmannLMarxWThe wisdom of citing scientistsJ Am Soc Inf Sci20136561288129210.1002/asi.23100
MannMEThe weather amplifier: strange waves in the jet stream foretell a future full of heat waves and floodsSci Am201932034349
MarxWBornmannLOn the causes of subject-specific citation rates in Web of ScienceScientometrics201510221823182710.1007/s11192-014-1499-9
ChristidisNJonesGStottPDramatically increasing chance of extremely hot summers since the 2003 European heatwaveNat Clim Chang20155465010.1038/nclimate2468
KnowltonKRotkin-EllmanMKingGMargolisHGSmithDSolomonGTrentREnglishPThe 2006 California heat wave: impacts on hospitalizations and emergency department visitsEnviron Health Perspect20091171616710.1289/ehp.11594
KalksteinLSDavisREWeather and human mortality – an evaluation of demographic and interregional responses in the United-StatesAnn Assoc Am Geogr1989791446410.1111/j.1467-8306.1989.tb00249.x
SemenzaJCMcCulloughJEFlandersWDMcGeehinMALumpkinJRExcess hospital admissions during the July 1995 heat wave in ChicagoAm J Prev Med199916426927710.1016/S0749-3797(99)00025-2
OliverECJDonatMGBurrowsMTLonger and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past centuryNat Commun20189132410.1038/s41467-018-03732-9
IPCC 2014: Climate change, Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/syr
MarxWHaunschildRBornmannLClimate change and viticulture—a quantitative analysis of a highly dynamic research fieldVitis201756354310.5073/vitis.2017.56.35-43
PalJSEltahirEABFuture temperature in southwest Asia projected to exceed a threshold for human adaptabilityNat Clim Chang20166219720010.1038/NCLIMATE2833
Anderson BG, Bell ML (2009) Weather-related mortality how heat, cold, and heat waves affect mortality in the United States. Epidemiology 20(2):205–213. https://doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0b013e318190ee08
SmaleDAWernbergTOliverECJMarine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem servicesNat Clim Chang2019930631210.1038/s41558-019-0412-1
ThorAMarxWLeydesdorffLBornmannLNew features of CitedReferencesExplorer (CRExplorer)Scientometrics20161092049205110.1007/s11192-016-2082-3
HuangQFLuYQUrban heat island research from 1991 to 2015: a bibliometric analysisTheoret Appl Climatol20181313–41055106710.1007/s00704-016-2025-1
Kang S, Eltahir EAB (2018) North China Plain threatened by deadly heatwaves due to climate change and irrigation. Nature Communications 9: article number 2894. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05252-y
AndersonGBBellMLHeat waves in the United States: mortality risk during heat waves and effect modification by heat wave characteristics in 43 U.S. communitiesEnviro Health Perspect2011119221021810.1289/ehp.1002313
Marx W, Haunschild R, Thor A, Bornmann L (2017a) Which early works are cited most frequently in climate change research literature? A bibliometric approach based on reference publication year spectroscopy. Scientometrics 110(1):335–353. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-016-2177-x
HaunschildRBornmannLMarxWClimate change research in view of bibliometricsPLoS ONE201611e016039310.1371/journal.pone.0160393
TahamtanIBornmannLCore elements in the process of citing publications: Conceptual overview of the literatureJ Informet20181220321610.1016/j.joi.2018.01.002
Marx W, Haunschild R, Bornmann L (2017c) Global warming and tea production – the bibliometric view on a newly emerging research topic. Climate 5(3): article number 46. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli5030046
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References_xml – reference: KatsouyanniKPantazopoulouATouloumiGTselepidakiIMoustrisKAsimakopoulosDPoulopoulouGTrichopoulosDEvidence for interaction between air-pollution and high-temperature in the causation of excess mortalityArch Environ Health199348423524210.1080/00039896.1993.9940365
– reference: KnowltonKRotkin-EllmanMKingGMargolisHGSmithDSolomonGTrentREnglishPThe 2006 California heat wave: impacts on hospitalizations and emergency department visitsEnviron Health Perspect20091171616710.1289/ehp.11594
– reference: KalksteinLSDavisREWeather and human mortality – an evaluation of demographic and interregional responses in the United-StatesAnn Assoc Am Geogr1989791446410.1111/j.1467-8306.1989.tb00249.x
– reference: HuangQFLuYQUrban heat island research from 1991 to 2015: a bibliometric analysisTheoret Appl Climatol20181313–41055106710.1007/s00704-016-2025-1
– reference: ChristidisNJonesGStottPDramatically increasing chance of extremely hot summers since the 2003 European heatwaveNat Clim Chang20155465010.1038/nclimate2468
– reference: Im ES, Pal JS, Eltahir EAB (2017) Deadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia. Science Advances 3(8): article number e1603322. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1603322
– reference: CoumouDLehmannJBeckmannJThe weakening summer circulation in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudesScience201534832432710.1126/science.1261768
– reference: Marx W, Haunschild R, Thor A, Bornmann L (2017a) Which early works are cited most frequently in climate change research literature? A bibliometric approach based on reference publication year spectroscopy. Scientometrics 110(1):335–353. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-016-2177-x
– reference: MeehlGATebaldiCMore intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st centuryScience200430599499710.1126/science.1098704
– reference: Anderson BG, Bell ML (2009) Weather-related mortality how heat, cold, and heat waves affect mortality in the United States. Epidemiology 20(2):205–213. https://doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0b013e318190ee08
– reference: IPCC 2014: Climate change, Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/syr/
– reference: ThorABornmannLMarxWMutzRIdentifying single influential publications in a research field: new analysis opportunities of the CRExplorerScientometrics2018116159160810.1007/s11192-018-2733-7
– reference: OliverECJDonatMGBurrowsMTLonger and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past centuryNat Commun20189132410.1038/s41467-018-03732-9
– reference: AndersonGBBellMLHeat waves in the United States: mortality risk during heat waves and effect modification by heat wave characteristics in 43 U.S. communitiesEnviro Health Perspect2011119221021810.1289/ehp.1002313
– reference: PalJSEltahirEABFuture temperature in southwest Asia projected to exceed a threshold for human adaptabilityNat Clim Chang20166219720010.1038/NCLIMATE2833
– reference: CSSR 2017: Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 470, https://doi.org/10.7930/J0J964J6, https://science2017.globalchange.gov/downloads/CSSR2017_FullReport.pdf
– reference: MarxWBornmannLBarthALeydesdorffLDetecting the historical roots of research fields by Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy (RPYS)J Am Soc Inf Sci20146575176410.1002/asi.23089
– reference: Marx W, Haunschild R, Bornmann L (2017c) Global warming and tea production – the bibliometric view on a newly emerging research topic. Climate 5(3): article number 46. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli5030046
– reference: HaunschildRBornmannLMarxWClimate change research in view of bibliometricsPLoS ONE201611e016039310.1371/journal.pone.0160393
– reference: ThorAMarxWLeydesdorffLBornmannLIntroducing CitedReferencesExplorer (CRExplorer): a program for Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy with cited references disambiguationJ Informet20161050351510.1016/j.joi.2016.02.005
– reference: FouilletAReyGLaurentFPavillonGBellecSGuihenneuc-JouyauxCClavelJJouglaEHemonDExcess mortality related to the August 2003 heat wave in FranceInt Arch Occup Environ Health2006801162410.1007/s00420-006-0089-4
– reference: IPCC 2014: Climate Change, Summary for Policymakers. In: IPCC, 2014: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/AR5_SYR_FINAL_SPM.pdf
– reference: MarxWHaunschildRBornmannLClimate change and viticulture—a quantitative analysis of a highly dynamic research fieldVitis201756354310.5073/vitis.2017.56.35-43
– reference: Broennimann S, Stickler A, Griesser T, Ewen T, Grant AN, Fischer AM, Schraner M, Peter T, Rozanov E, Ross T (2009) Exceptional atmospheric circulation during the "Dust Bowl". Geophysical Research Letters 36: article number L08802. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037612
– reference: MoraCDoussetBCaldwellIGlobal risk of deadly heatNat Clim Chang2017750150610.1038/nclimate3322
– reference: SemenzaJCMcCulloughJEFlandersWDMcGeehinMALumpkinJRExcess hospital admissions during the July 1995 heat wave in ChicagoAm J Prev Med199916426927710.1016/S0749-3797(99)00025-2
– reference: Van EckNJWaltmanLSoftware survey: VOSviewer, a computer program for bibliometric mappingScientometrics201084252353810.1007/s11192-009-0146-3
– reference: TahamtanIBornmannLWhat do citation counts measure? An updated review of studies on citations in scientific documents published between 2006 and 2018Scientometrics20191211635168410.1007/s11192-019-03243-4
– reference: TahamtanIBornmannLCore elements in the process of citing publications: Conceptual overview of the literatureJ Informet20181220321610.1016/j.joi.2018.01.002
– reference: Kang S, Eltahir EAB (2018) North China Plain threatened by deadly heatwaves due to climate change and irrigation. Nature Communications 9: article number 2894. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05252-y
– reference: MarxWBornmannLOn the causes of subject-specific citation rates in Web of ScienceScientometrics201510221823182710.1007/s11192-014-1499-9
– reference: NCA4 2018: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II: impacts, risks, and adaptation in the United States. https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/ NCA 2018 Report-in-Brief: https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/downloads/NCA4_Report-in-Brief.pdf
– reference: BornmannLMarxWThe wisdom of citing scientistsJ Am Soc Inf Sci20136561288129210.1002/asi.23100
– reference: CominsJAHusseyTWDetecting seminal research contributions to the development and use of the global positioning system by Reference Publication Year SpectroscopyScientometrics201510457558010.1007/s11192-015-1598-2
– reference: SmaleDAWernbergTOliverECJMarine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem servicesNat Clim Chang2019930631210.1038/s41558-019-0412-1
– reference: MannMEThe weather amplifier: strange waves in the jet stream foretell a future full of heat waves and floodsSci Am201932034349
– reference: ThorAMarxWLeydesdorffLBornmannLNew features of CitedReferencesExplorer (CRExplorer)Scientometrics20161092049205110.1007/s11192-016-2082-3
– reference: MarxWBornmannLChange of perspective: Bibliometrics from the point of view of cited references. A literature overview on approaches to the evaluation of cited references in bibliometricsScientometrics201610921397141510.1007/s11192-016-2111-2
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Snippet Research on heat waves (periods of excessively hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity) is a newly emerging research topic within the field of...
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SubjectTerms Analysis
Aquatic Pollution
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
Atmospheric Sciences
Australia
Climate change
Climate change research
Climate science
Climatology
Drought
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Europe
Global temperature changes
Heat
Heat islands
Heat waves
Heatwaves
High humidity
hospitals
Hot weather
Humidity
mortality
Original Paper
politics
Regions
risk estimate
Survivability
Survival
Temperature rise
Urban heat islands
Waste Water Technology
Water Management
Water Pollution Control
Weather
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Title Heat waves: a hot topic in climate change research
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