江苏省区域协调发展时空格局及动力机制研究
从经济发展、生态环境、科创发展、社会服务和基础设施5个子系统协调层面入手，构建区域协调发展综合评价体系；运用Dagum基尼系数、标准差椭圆、协调度模型和多尺度地理加权回归模型，探究2012—2021年江苏区域协调发展水平的时空格局及动力机制。结果表明：江苏区域协调发展水平在整体和局部上都存在明显的空间分异格局，协调发展水平不断提高，提升速度前期快、后期慢；江苏区域协调发展存在明显的区域差异，地区间的差异主导区域发展的不均衡，发展的演化方向由南向北，南北发展变化快于东西方向变化且南北差异大；各影响因素对江苏区域协调发展的作用具有空间异质性，开放和产业水平对协调发展的空间异质性大且驱动强，消费、教...
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| Published in | 上海国土资源 Vol. 45; no. 1; pp. 52 - 58 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | Chinese |
| Published |
上海市地质学会
30.03.2024
上海市地质调查研究院 江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏·徐州 221116 |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 2095-1329 |
| DOI | 10.3969/j.issn.2095-1329.2024.01.010 |
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| Abstract | 从经济发展、生态环境、科创发展、社会服务和基础设施5个子系统协调层面入手，构建区域协调发展综合评价体系；运用Dagum基尼系数、标准差椭圆、协调度模型和多尺度地理加权回归模型，探究2012—2021年江苏区域协调发展水平的时空格局及动力机制。结果表明：江苏区域协调发展水平在整体和局部上都存在明显的空间分异格局，协调发展水平不断提高，提升速度前期快、后期慢；江苏区域协调发展存在明显的区域差异，地区间的差异主导区域发展的不均衡，发展的演化方向由南向北，南北发展变化快于东西方向变化且南北差异大；各影响因素对江苏区域协调发展的作用具有空间异质性，开放和产业水平对协调发展的空间异质性大且驱动强，消费、教育和交通水平空间异质性小且驱动力弱或起负作用。 |
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| AbstractList | F127; 从经济发展、生态环境、科创发展、社会服务和基础设施5个子系统协调层面入手,构建区域协调发展综合评价体系;运用Dagum基尼系数、标准差椭圆、协调度模型和多尺度地理加权回归模型,探究 2012-2021 年江苏区域协调发展水平的时空格局及动力机制.结果表明:江苏区域协调发展水平在整体和局部上都存在明显的空间分异格局,协调发展水平不断提高,提升速度前期快、后期慢;江苏区域协调发展存在明显的区域差异,地区间的差异主导区域发展的不均衡,发展的演化方向由南向北,南北发展变化快于东西方向变化且南北差异大;各影响因素对江苏区域协调发展的作用具有空间异质性,开放和产业水平对协调发展的空间异质性大且驱动强,消费、教育和交通水平空间异质性小且驱动力弱或起负作用. 从经济发展、生态环境、科创发展、社会服务和基础设施5个子系统协调层面入手，构建区域协调发展综合评价体系；运用Dagum基尼系数、标准差椭圆、协调度模型和多尺度地理加权回归模型，探究2012—2021年江苏区域协调发展水平的时空格局及动力机制。结果表明：江苏区域协调发展水平在整体和局部上都存在明显的空间分异格局，协调发展水平不断提高，提升速度前期快、后期慢；江苏区域协调发展存在明显的区域差异，地区间的差异主导区域发展的不均衡，发展的演化方向由南向北，南北发展变化快于东西方向变化且南北差异大；各影响因素对江苏区域协调发展的作用具有空间异质性，开放和产业水平对协调发展的空间异质性大且驱动强，消费、教育和交通水平空间异质性小且驱动力弱或起负作用。 |
| Abstract_FL | Starting from the coordination level of five sub-systems,namely economic development,ecological environment,science and innovation development,social services and infrastructure,a comprehensive evaluation system for regional coordinated development should be established.Dagum Gini coefficient,standard deviation ellipse,coordination degree model and multi-scale geographical weighted regression model were used to explore the spatio-temporal pattern and dynamic mechanism of Jiangsu's regional coordinated development level from 2012 to 2021.The results show as follows:(1)The regional coordinated development level of Jiangsu Province has obvious spatial differentiation pattern in the whole and local areas;The level of development is constantly improving,and the speed of improvement is fast in the early stage and slow in the later stage;(2)There are obvious regional differences in Jiangsu's regional coordinated development,and the differences between regions lead to the imbalance of regional development.The evolution direction of development is from south to north,and the north-south development changes faster than the east-west development,and the north-south difference is large;(3)The effects of various influencing factors on the coordinated development of Jiangsu Province are spatially heterogeneous,and the level of opening up and industry have large spatial heterogeneity and strong driving force on the coordinated development,while the level of consumption,education and traffic have small spatial heterogeneity and weak driving force or have negative effects. |
| Author | 欧向军 朱俊杰 |
| AuthorAffiliation | 江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏·徐州 221116 |
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| Author_FL | OU Xiangjun ZHU Junjie |
| Author_FL_xml | – sequence: 1 fullname: ZHU Junjie – sequence: 2 fullname: OU Xiangjun |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 fullname: 朱俊杰 organization: 江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏·徐州221116 – sequence: 2 fullname: 欧向军 organization: 江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏·徐州221116 |
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| Keywords | 时空格局 动力机制 区域协调发展 多尺度地理加权回归（MGWR） 多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR) dynamic mechanism spatio-temporal pattern multi-scale geographical weighted regression(MGWR) regional coordinated development |
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| Title | 江苏省区域协调发展时空格局及动力机制研究 |
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