Novel framework for assessing long‐term flood risk management pathways focusing on river channel improvement and amenity policies
Many urban areas at higher flood risk owing to climate change, and mitigating these risks requires a combination of structural and nonstructural adaptation measures. Previous studies assessing adaptation measures are limited in quantifying the effects of climatic and social changes. As an interdisci...
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| Published in | Journal of flood risk management Vol. 15; no. 3 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
Oxford, UK
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
01.09.2022
John Wiley & Sons, Inc Wiley |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 1753-318X 1753-318X |
| DOI | 10.1111/jfr3.12804 |
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| Abstract | Many urban areas at higher flood risk owing to climate change, and mitigating these risks requires a combination of structural and nonstructural adaptation measures. Previous studies assessing adaptation measures are limited in quantifying the effects of climatic and social changes. As an interdisciplinary approach, this study developed an agent‐based model of household locational choices and combined an advanced method for deriving on‐site analytical flood risk curves (90 m resolution) to explicitly reflect the present/future flood risk on the flood insurance rate. To evaluate river channel improvements and amenity policies, the proposed framework was applied to a middle stream area of the Yodo River basin, Japan. The simulation results indicated that (1) both the design level and river pathway improvements influence the flood risk (2) developing wider areas over low‐ and no‐risk areas rather than the intensive induction to limited no‐risk areas lead to a more effective reduction in flood risk. In addition, (3) an appropriate amenity policy may contribute to the attenuation of the inequality of flood risk among regions owing to the pathway of improvement. The proposed interdisciplinary approach will help decision makers in long‐term flood risk management. |
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| AbstractList | Many urban areas at higher flood risk owing to climate change, and mitigating these risks requires a combination of structural and nonstructural adaptation measures. Previous studies assessing adaptation measures are limited in quantifying the effects of climatic and social changes. As an interdisciplinary approach, this study developed an agent‐based model of household locational choices and combined an advanced method for deriving on‐site analytical flood risk curves (90 m resolution) to explicitly reflect the present/future flood risk on the flood insurance rate. To evaluate river channel improvements and amenity policies, the proposed framework was applied to a middle stream area of the Yodo River basin, Japan. The simulation results indicated that (1) both the design level and river pathway improvements influence the flood risk (2) developing wider areas over low‐ and no‐risk areas rather than the intensive induction to limited no‐risk areas lead to a more effective reduction in flood risk. In addition, (3) an appropriate amenity policy may contribute to the attenuation of the inequality of flood risk among regions owing to the pathway of improvement. The proposed interdisciplinary approach will help decision makers in long‐term flood risk management. Abstract Many urban areas at higher flood risk owing to climate change, and mitigating these risks requires a combination of structural and nonstructural adaptation measures. Previous studies assessing adaptation measures are limited in quantifying the effects of climatic and social changes. As an interdisciplinary approach, this study developed an agent‐based model of household locational choices and combined an advanced method for deriving on‐site analytical flood risk curves (90 m resolution) to explicitly reflect the present/future flood risk on the flood insurance rate. To evaluate river channel improvements and amenity policies, the proposed framework was applied to a middle stream area of the Yodo River basin, Japan. The simulation results indicated that (1) both the design level and river pathway improvements influence the flood risk (2) developing wider areas over low‐ and no‐risk areas rather than the intensive induction to limited no‐risk areas lead to a more effective reduction in flood risk. In addition, (3) an appropriate amenity policy may contribute to the attenuation of the inequality of flood risk among regions owing to the pathway of improvement. The proposed interdisciplinary approach will help decision makers in long‐term flood risk management. |
| Author | Yokomatsu, Muneta Ashino, Masato Ichikawa, Yutaka Tanaka, Tomohiro |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Tomohiro orcidid: 0000-0002-8884-9089 surname: Tanaka fullname: Tanaka, Tomohiro email: tanaka.tomohiro.7c@kyoto-u.ac.jp organization: Kyoto University – sequence: 2 givenname: Muneta surname: Yokomatsu fullname: Yokomatsu, Muneta organization: Kyoto University – sequence: 3 givenname: Masato surname: Ashino fullname: Ashino, Masato organization: Japan International Cooperation Agency – sequence: 4 givenname: Yutaka surname: Ichikawa fullname: Ichikawa, Yutaka organization: Kyoto University |
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| Cites_doi | 10.2166/wst.2002.0176 10.1016/j.engappai.2018.11.010 10.1007/s11069-009-9452-6 10.2151/sola.2008-007 10.1007/s11069-005-8603-7 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.242 10.1111/jfr3.12092 10.5194/hess-17-379-2013 10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5 10.1007/s11069-017-2763-0 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2017.04.002 10.1007/978-3-319-43329-5_15 10.1016/j.trpro.2016.02.069 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2010.06.005 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.008 10.2208/jscejhe.75.112 10.1002/hyp.8426 10.5194/hess-17-3295-2013 10.5194/hess-18-155-2014 10.1017/S1355770x12000290 10.1007/978-3-7908-1972-4_6 10.1175/Bams-D-16-0099.1 10.2208/jscejhe.72.I_1219 10.2208/jscejhe.73.77 10.1007/s00382-010-0979-8 10.1007/s11069-011-9745-4 10.1111/jfr3.12714 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.01.018 10.1038/Nclimate1911 10.1177/2399808317720797 10.3178/hrl.12.28 10.1038/s41558-018-0085-1 10.1029/2017wr022509 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.10.015 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125600 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.09.012 |
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| SubjectTerms | Adaptation agent‐based model amenity policy Climate change Environmental risk Flood control Flood management Flood risk Floods insurance Interdisciplinary aspects issues and policy Japan Policies Risk Risk analysis Risk management River basins River channels river improvement Rivers streams Urban areas watersheds |
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| Title | Novel framework for assessing long‐term flood risk management pathways focusing on river channel improvement and amenity policies |
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