A replication study of JTC bias, genetic liability for psychosis and delusional ideation

This study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or 'jumping to conclusions'(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling of a patient with schizophrenia spectrum disorder; and if so, whether this association is contingent on subthreshold delusional ideation. Da...

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Published inPsychological medicine Vol. 52; no. 9; pp. 1777 - 1783
Main Authors Henquet, Cécile, van Os, Jim, Pries, Lotta K., Rauschenberg, Christian, Delespaul, Philippe, Kenis, Gunter, Luykx, Jurjen J., Lin, Bochao D., Richards, Alexander L., Akdede, Berna, Binbay, Tolga, Altınyazar, Vesile, Yalınçetin, Berna, Gümüş-Akay, Güvem, Cihan, Burçin, Soygür, Haldun, Ulaş, Halis, Cankurtaran, Eylem S., Kaymak, Semra U., Mihaljevic, Marina M., Petrovic, Sanja S., Mirjanic, Tijana, Bernardo, Miguel, Mezquida, Gisela, Amoretti, Silvia, Bobes, Julio, Saiz, Pilar A., García-Portilla, Maria P., Sanjuan, Julio, Aguilar, Eduardo J., Santos, Jose L., Jiménez-López, Estela, Arrojo, Manuel, Carracedo, Angel, López, Gonzalo, González-Peñas, Javier, Parellada, Mara, Maric, Nadja P., Atbaşoğlu, Cem, Ucok, Alp, Alptekin, Köksal, Saka, Meram C., Arango, Celso, O'Donovan, Michael, Rutten, Bart P.F., Gülöksüz, Sinan
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Cambridge, UK Cambridge University Press 01.07.2022
Subjects
Bias
Cognition & reasoning
Cognitive ability
Cognitive bias
Decision Making
Delusional disorder
Delusions
Delusions - psychology
Hallucinations
Humans
Ideation
Jumping
Liability
Mental disorders
Neurosciences
Online instruction
Original
Original Article
Probabilistic reasoning
Psychosis
Psychotic Disorders - psychology
Reproducibility
Risk factors
Schizophrenia
Schizophrenia - genetics
Siblings
delusions
reasoning
neuropsychology
jumping to conclusions
Cognition
family
psychosis
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0033-2917
1469-8978
1469-8978
DOI10.1017/S0033291720003578

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Abstract This study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or 'jumping to conclusions'(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling of a patient with schizophrenia spectrum disorder; and if so, whether this association is contingent on subthreshold delusional ideation. Data were derived from the EUGEI project, a 25-centre, 15-country effort to study psychosis spectrum disorder. The current analyses included 1261 patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorder, 1282 siblings of patients and 1525 healthy comparison subjects, recruited in Spain (five centres), Turkey (three centres) and Serbia (one centre). The beads task was used to assess JTC bias. Lifetime experience of delusional ideation and hallucinatory experiences was assessed using the Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences. General cognitive abilities were taken into account in the analyses. JTC bias was positively associated not only with patient status but also with sibling status [adjusted relative risk (aRR) ratio : 4.23 CI 95% 3.46-5.17 for siblings and aRR: 5.07 CI 95% 4.13-6.23 for patients]. The association between JTC bias and sibling status was stronger in those with higher levels of delusional ideation (aRR interaction in siblings: 3.77 CI 95% 1.67-8.51, and in patients: 2.15 CI 95% 0.94-4.92). The association between JTC bias and sibling status was not stronger in those with higher levels of hallucinatory experiences. These findings replicate earlier findings that JTC bias is associated with familial liability for psychosis and that this is contingent on the degree of delusional ideation but not hallucinations.
AbstractList This study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or 'jumping to conclusions'(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling of a patient with schizophrenia spectrum disorder; and if so, whether this association is contingent on subthreshold delusional ideation.BACKGROUNDThis study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or 'jumping to conclusions'(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling of a patient with schizophrenia spectrum disorder; and if so, whether this association is contingent on subthreshold delusional ideation.Data were derived from the EUGEI project, a 25-centre, 15-country effort to study psychosis spectrum disorder. The current analyses included 1261 patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorder, 1282 siblings of patients and 1525 healthy comparison subjects, recruited in Spain (five centres), Turkey (three centres) and Serbia (one centre). The beads task was used to assess JTC bias. Lifetime experience of delusional ideation and hallucinatory experiences was assessed using the Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences. General cognitive abilities were taken into account in the analyses.METHODSData were derived from the EUGEI project, a 25-centre, 15-country effort to study psychosis spectrum disorder. The current analyses included 1261 patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorder, 1282 siblings of patients and 1525 healthy comparison subjects, recruited in Spain (five centres), Turkey (three centres) and Serbia (one centre). The beads task was used to assess JTC bias. Lifetime experience of delusional ideation and hallucinatory experiences was assessed using the Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences. General cognitive abilities were taken into account in the analyses.JTC bias was positively associated not only with patient status but also with sibling status [adjusted relative risk (aRR) ratio : 4.23 CI 95% 3.46-5.17 for siblings and aRR: 5.07 CI 95% 4.13-6.23 for patients]. The association between JTC bias and sibling status was stronger in those with higher levels of delusional ideation (aRR interaction in siblings: 3.77 CI 95% 1.67-8.51, and in patients: 2.15 CI 95% 0.94-4.92). The association between JTC bias and sibling status was not stronger in those with higher levels of hallucinatory experiences.RESULTSJTC bias was positively associated not only with patient status but also with sibling status [adjusted relative risk (aRR) ratio : 4.23 CI 95% 3.46-5.17 for siblings and aRR: 5.07 CI 95% 4.13-6.23 for patients]. The association between JTC bias and sibling status was stronger in those with higher levels of delusional ideation (aRR interaction in siblings: 3.77 CI 95% 1.67-8.51, and in patients: 2.15 CI 95% 0.94-4.92). The association between JTC bias and sibling status was not stronger in those with higher levels of hallucinatory experiences.These findings replicate earlier findings that JTC bias is associated with familial liability for psychosis and that this is contingent on the degree of delusional ideation but not hallucinations.CONCLUSIONSThese findings replicate earlier findings that JTC bias is associated with familial liability for psychosis and that this is contingent on the degree of delusional ideation but not hallucinations.
BackgroundThis study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or ‘jumping to conclusions’(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling of a patient with schizophrenia spectrum disorder; and if so, whether this association is contingent on subthreshold delusional ideation.MethodsData were derived from the EUGEI project, a 25-centre, 15-country effort to study psychosis spectrum disorder. The current analyses included 1261 patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorder, 1282 siblings of patients and 1525 healthy comparison subjects, recruited in Spain (five centres), Turkey (three centres) and Serbia (one centre). The beads task was used to assess JTC bias. Lifetime experience of delusional ideation and hallucinatory experiences was assessed using the Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences. General cognitive abilities were taken into account in the analyses.ResultsJTC bias was positively associated not only with patient status but also with sibling status [adjusted relative risk (aRR) ratio : 4.23 CI 95% 3.46–5.17 for siblings and aRR: 5.07 CI 95% 4.13–6.23 for patients]. The association between JTC bias and sibling status was stronger in those with higher levels of delusional ideation (aRR interaction in siblings: 3.77 CI 95% 1.67–8.51, and in patients: 2.15 CI 95% 0.94–4.92). The association between JTC bias and sibling status was not stronger in those with higher levels of hallucinatory experiences.ConclusionsThese findings replicate earlier findings that JTC bias is associated with familial liability for psychosis and that this is contingent on the degree of delusional ideation but not hallucinations.
This study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or 'jumping to conclusions'(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling of a patient with schizophrenia spectrum disorder; and if so, whether this association is contingent on subthreshold delusional ideation. Data were derived from the EUGEI project, a 25-centre, 15-country effort to study psychosis spectrum disorder. The current analyses included 1261 patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorder, 1282 siblings of patients and 1525 healthy comparison subjects, recruited in Spain (five centres), Turkey (three centres) and Serbia (one centre). The beads task was used to assess JTC bias. Lifetime experience of delusional ideation and hallucinatory experiences was assessed using the Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences. General cognitive abilities were taken into account in the analyses. JTC bias was positively associated not only with patient status but also with sibling status [adjusted relative risk (aRR) ratio : 4.23 CI 95% 3.46-5.17 for siblings and aRR: 5.07 CI 95% 4.13-6.23 for patients]. The association between JTC bias and sibling status was stronger in those with higher levels of delusional ideation (aRR interaction in siblings: 3.77 CI 95% 1.67-8.51, and in patients: 2.15 CI 95% 0.94-4.92). The association between JTC bias and sibling status was not stronger in those with higher levels of hallucinatory experiences. These findings replicate earlier findings that JTC bias is associated with familial liability for psychosis and that this is contingent on the degree of delusional ideation but not hallucinations.
Author Bobes, Julio
O'Donovan, Michael
Altınyazar, Vesile
Alptekin, Köksal
Akdede, Berna
Binbay, Tolga
Soygür, Haldun
Arrojo, Manuel
Cankurtaran, Eylem S.
Mezquida, Gisela
Luykx, Jurjen J.
Kaymak, Semra U.
Richards, Alexander L.
Aguilar, Eduardo J.
Sanjuan, Julio
Ulaş, Halis
Gülöksüz, Sinan
González-Peñas, Javier
Henquet, Cécile
Santos, Jose L.
Cihan, Burçin
Rauschenberg, Christian
García-Portilla, Maria P.
Arango, Celso
López, Gonzalo
Saiz, Pilar A.
Petrovic, Sanja S.
Carracedo, Angel
van Os, Jim
Parellada, Mara
Pries, Lotta K.
Mihaljevic, Marina M.
Kenis, Gunter
Jiménez-López, Estela
Ucok, Alp
Mirjanic, Tijana
Delespaul, Philippe
Bernardo, Miguel
Yalınçetin, Berna
Maric, Nadja P.
Saka, Meram C.
Gümüş-Akay, Güvem
Atbaşoğlu, Cem
Lin, Bochao D.
Rutten, Bart P.F.
Amoretti, Silvia
AuthorAffiliation 11 Department of Physiology, School of Medicine, Ankara University , Ankara , Turkey
36 Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University , Istanbul , Turkey
31 Grupo de Medicina Genómica, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Raras (CIBERER) Universidad de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela , Spain
14 Turkish Federation of Schizophrenia Associations , Ankara , Turkey
34 Institute of Mental Health , Belgrade , Serbia
4 Department of Public Mental Health, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, University of Heidelberg , Mannheim , Germany
27 Department of Psychiatry, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia, School of Medicine, Universidad de Valencia , Valencia , Spain
15 Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University , Izmir , Turkey (Discharged by statutory degree No: 701 at 8th July of 2018, because of signing “Peace Petition”)
9 Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine, Adnan Menderes Unive
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BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33046166$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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crossref_primary_10_1177_00048674241235849
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Issue 9
Keywords delusions
reasoning
neuropsychology
jumping to conclusions
Cognition
family
psychosis
Language English
License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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Snippet This study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or 'jumping to conclusions'(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling of a...
BackgroundThis study attempted to replicate whether a bias in probabilistic reasoning, or ‘jumping to conclusions’(JTC) bias is associated with being a sibling...
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StartPage 1777
SubjectTerms Bias
Cognition & reasoning
Cognitive ability
Cognitive bias
Decision Making
Delusional disorder
Delusions
Delusions - psychology
Hallucinations
Humans
Ideation
Jumping
Liability
Mental disorders
Neurosciences
Online instruction
Original
Original Article
Probabilistic reasoning
Psychosis
Psychotic Disorders - psychology
Reproducibility
Risk factors
Schizophrenia
Schizophrenia - genetics
Siblings
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Title A replication study of JTC bias, genetic liability for psychosis and delusional ideation
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