Global warming scenarios for the Eastern Adriatic Sea indicate a higher risk of invasiveness of non-native marine organisms relative to current climate conditions

Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change. We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms (37 fishes, 38 invertebrates, and 9 plan...

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Published inMarine life science & technology Vol. 6; no. 1; pp. 143 - 154
Main Authors Glamuzina, Branko, Vilizzi, Lorenzo, Piria, Marina, Žuljević, Ante, Cetinić, Ana Bratoš, Pešić, Ana, Dragičević, Branko, Lipej, Lovrenc, Pećarević, Marijana, Bartulović, Vlasta, Grđan, Sanja, Cvitković, Ivan, Dobroslavić, Tatjana, Fortič, Ana, Glamuzina, Luka, Mavrič, Borut, Tomanić, Jovana, Despalatović, Marija, Trkov, Domen, Šćepanović, Marina Brailo, Vidović, Zoran, Simonović, Predrag, Matić-Skoko, Sanja, Tutman, Pero
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Singapore Springer Nature Singapore 01.02.2024
Subjects
Biodiversity
Biological Techniques
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Fish & Wildlife Biology & Management
Food Microbiology
Freshwater & Marine Ecology
Life Sciences
Research Paper
Introduction vectors/pathways
Invasive species
AS-ISK
Early detection
Rapid response
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN2662-1746
2096-6490
2662-1746
DOI10.1007/s42995-023-00196-9

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Abstract Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change. We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms (37 fishes, 38 invertebrates, and 9 plants), both extant and ‘horizon’ (i.e., not present in the area but likely to enter it). Based on expert knowledge for the Eastern Adriatic Sea coasts of Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, screenings were conducted under both current and predicted climate conditions indicating with an increase in sea surface temperature and salinity of the Adriatic Sea together with changes in precipitation regime. Our aims were to: (1) identify non-native extant and horizon marine species that may pose threats to native biodiversity and (2) evaluate the risk of invasiveness of the selected species under current and predicted climate conditions. Of the 84 species screened, there was an increase in those ranked as ‘high risk’ from 33 (39.3%) under current climate conditions and to 47 (56.0%) under global warming scenarios. For those ranked as ‘very high’ risk, the increase was from 6 (7.1%) to 21 (25.0%). Amongst the screened species, the already established high-risk species Pacific oyster Magallana gigas and Atlantic blue crab Callinectes sapidus represent a threat to ecosystem services. Given the under-representation of marine species in the current European Union List, the species we have ranked as high to very high risk should be included.
AbstractList Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change. We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms (37 fishes, 38 invertebrates, and 9 plants), both extant and 'horizon' (i.e., not present in the area but likely to enter it). Based on expert knowledge for the Eastern Adriatic Sea coasts of Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, screenings were conducted under both current and predicted climate conditions indicating with an increase in sea surface temperature and salinity of the Adriatic Sea together with changes in precipitation regime. Our aims were to: (1) identify non-native extant and horizon marine species that may pose threats to native biodiversity and (2) evaluate the risk of invasiveness of the selected species under current and predicted climate conditions. Of the 84 species screened, there was an increase in those ranked as 'high risk' from 33 (39.3%) under current climate conditions and to 47 (56.0%) under global warming scenarios. For those ranked as 'very high' risk, the increase was from 6 (7.1%) to 21 (25.0%). Amongst the screened species, the already established high-risk species Pacific oyster and Atlantic blue crab represent a threat to ecosystem services. Given the under-representation of marine species in the current European Union List, the species we have ranked as high to very high risk should be included. The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42995-023-00196-9.
Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change. We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms (37 fishes, 38 invertebrates, and 9 plants), both extant and ‘horizon’ (i.e., not present in the area but likely to enter it). Based on expert knowledge for the Eastern Adriatic Sea coasts of Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, screenings were conducted under both current and predicted climate conditions indicating with an increase in sea surface temperature and salinity of the Adriatic Sea together with changes in precipitation regime. Our aims were to: (1) identify non-native extant and horizon marine species that may pose threats to native biodiversity and (2) evaluate the risk of invasiveness of the selected species under current and predicted climate conditions. Of the 84 species screened, there was an increase in those ranked as ‘high risk’ from 33 (39.3%) under current climate conditions and to 47 (56.0%) under global warming scenarios. For those ranked as ‘very high’ risk, the increase was from 6 (7.1%) to 21 (25.0%). Amongst the screened species, the already established high-risk species Pacific oyster Magallana gigas and Atlantic blue crab Callinectes sapidus represent a threat to ecosystem services. Given the under-representation of marine species in the current European Union List, the species we have ranked as high to very high risk should be included.
Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change. We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms (37 fishes, 38 invertebrates, and 9 plants), both extant and 'horizon' (i.e., not present in the area but likely to enter it). Based on expert knowledge for the Eastern Adriatic Sea coasts of Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, screenings were conducted under both current and predicted climate conditions indicating with an increase in sea surface temperature and salinity of the Adriatic Sea together with changes in precipitation regime. Our aims were to: (1) identify non-native extant and horizon marine species that may pose threats to native biodiversity and (2) evaluate the risk of invasiveness of the selected species under current and predicted climate conditions. Of the 84 species screened, there was an increase in those ranked as 'high risk' from 33 (39.3%) under current climate conditions and to 47 (56.0%) under global warming scenarios. For those ranked as 'very high' risk, the increase was from 6 (7.1%) to 21 (25.0%). Amongst the screened species, the already established high-risk species Pacific oyster Magallana gigas and Atlantic blue crab Callinectes sapidus represent a threat to ecosystem services. Given the under-representation of marine species in the current European Union List, the species we have ranked as high to very high risk should be included.Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change. We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms (37 fishes, 38 invertebrates, and 9 plants), both extant and 'horizon' (i.e., not present in the area but likely to enter it). Based on expert knowledge for the Eastern Adriatic Sea coasts of Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, screenings were conducted under both current and predicted climate conditions indicating with an increase in sea surface temperature and salinity of the Adriatic Sea together with changes in precipitation regime. Our aims were to: (1) identify non-native extant and horizon marine species that may pose threats to native biodiversity and (2) evaluate the risk of invasiveness of the selected species under current and predicted climate conditions. Of the 84 species screened, there was an increase in those ranked as 'high risk' from 33 (39.3%) under current climate conditions and to 47 (56.0%) under global warming scenarios. For those ranked as 'very high' risk, the increase was from 6 (7.1%) to 21 (25.0%). Amongst the screened species, the already established high-risk species Pacific oyster Magallana gigas and Atlantic blue crab Callinectes sapidus represent a threat to ecosystem services. Given the under-representation of marine species in the current European Union List, the species we have ranked as high to very high risk should be included.The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42995-023-00196-9.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42995-023-00196-9.
Author Piria, Marina
Vidović, Zoran
Fortič, Ana
Glamuzina, Branko
Dragičević, Branko
Trkov, Domen
Šćepanović, Marina Brailo
Cetinić, Ana Bratoš
Žuljević, Ante
Dobroslavić, Tatjana
Despalatović, Marija
Pešić, Ana
Simonović, Predrag
Mavrič, Borut
Vilizzi, Lorenzo
Tutman, Pero
Grđan, Sanja
Cvitković, Ivan
Glamuzina, Luka
Pećarević, Marijana
Lipej, Lovrenc
Bartulović, Vlasta
Tomanić, Jovana
Matić-Skoko, Sanja
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  organization: National Institute of Biology, Marine Biology Station Piran
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  organization: Institute of Marine Biology, University of Montenegro
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  organization: Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries
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  organization: National Institute of Biology, Marine Biology Station Piran
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Keywords Introduction vectors/pathways
Invasive species
AS-ISK
Early detection
Rapid response
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Snippet Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such...
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StartPage 143
SubjectTerms Biodiversity
Biological Techniques
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Fish & Wildlife Biology & Management
Food Microbiology
Freshwater & Marine Ecology
Life Sciences
Research Paper
Title Global warming scenarios for the Eastern Adriatic Sea indicate a higher risk of invasiveness of non-native marine organisms relative to current climate conditions
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s42995-023-00196-9
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38433966
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2937334090
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC10902240
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