How endogenous risk preferences and sample selection affect analysis of firm survival
The roles of selection and endogeneity in measured risk preferences are illustrated using the correlation between risk attitudes and firm survival. Selection bias occurs when risk attitudes are elicited only from current entrepreneurs so that the risk attitudes of unsuccessful entrepreneurs are excl...
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| Published in | Small business economics Vol. 56; no. 4; pp. 1309 - 1332 |
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| Main Authors | , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
New York
Springer Science + Business Media
01.04.2021
Springer US Springer Nature B.V |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 0921-898X 1573-0913 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11187-019-00288-w |
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| Abstract | The roles of selection and endogeneity in measured risk preferences are illustrated using the correlation between risk attitudes and firm survival. Selection bias occurs when risk attitudes are elicited only from current entrepreneurs so that the risk attitudes of unsuccessful entrepreneurs are excluded from the analysis. Risk attitudes measured after agents enter entrepreneurship will endogenously reflect business success. Data on entrepreneurs from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics shows that when risk attitudes are measured subject to selection and endogeneity, mixed or even positive correlations between risk acceptance and the probability of firm exit occur. However, firm exits fall monotonically with willingness to accept risk when risk preference measures are not subject to selection or endogeneity related to business success. |
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| AbstractList | The roles of selection and endogeneity in measured risk preferences are illustrated using the correlation between risk attitudes and firm survival. Selection bias occurs when risk attitudes are elicited only from current entrepreneurs so that the risk attitudes of unsuccessful entrepreneurs are excluded from the analysis. Risk attitudes measured after agents enter entrepreneurship will endogenously reflect business success. Data on entrepreneurs from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics shows that when risk attitudes are measured subject to selection and endogeneity, mixed or even positive correlations between risk acceptance and the probability of firm exit occur. However, firm exits fall monotonically with willingness to accept risk when risk preference measures are not subject to selection or endogeneity related to business success. |
| Author | Orazem, Peter F. Cho, Insoo |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Insoo surname: Cho fullname: Cho, Insoo – sequence: 2 givenname: Peter F. surname: Orazem fullname: Orazem, Peter F. |
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| CitedBy_id | crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jbusres_2022_113608 crossref_primary_10_1177_02662426231218710 crossref_primary_10_1177_02662426221122845 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jbusres_2021_12_048 crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0319931 crossref_primary_10_1080_08276331_2022_2070711 crossref_primary_10_1007_s11187_021_00480_x |
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| Keywords | L26 Sample selection Firm survival Hazard rate Endogenous risk attitudes C18 D81 Risk acceptance |
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| Title | How endogenous risk preferences and sample selection affect analysis of firm survival |
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