Consciously uncertain: A Bayesian analysis of preferences formation
We investigate experimentally whether players deliberately use irrelevant market cues to shape their evaluations of a traded item. We implement a repeated Vickrey median price selling auction of an unusual bad where players are informed on the market price and on the three lowest or highest asks. We...
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| Published in | Games Vol. 13; no. 1; pp. 1 - 20 |
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| Main Authors | , , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
Basel
MDPI
01.02.2022
MDPI AG |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 2073-4336 2073-4336 |
| DOI | 10.3390/g13010014 |
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| Abstract | We investigate experimentally whether players deliberately use irrelevant market cues to shape their evaluations of a traded item. We implement a repeated Vickrey median price selling auction of an unusual bad where players are informed on the market price and on the three lowest or highest asks. We elicited players' consideration of market signals through a questionnaire at the end of the auction. We find that extreme information has a stronger influence on players' evaluations than the market price. However, players' consideration of the market signals explains their behavioral reactivity to the market price but not to the extremes. Hence, players deliberately use an unbiased estimator of the central tendency of the appraisals distribution, while extreme asks' influence is consistent with a priming effect. |
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| AbstractList | We investigate experimentally whether players deliberately use irrelevant market cues to shape their evaluations of a traded item. We implement a repeated Vickrey median price selling auction of an unusual bad where players are informed on the market price and on the three lowest or highest asks. We elicited players' consideration of market signals through a questionnaire at the end of the auction. We find that extreme information has a stronger influence on players' evaluations than the market price. However, players' consideration of the market signals explains their behavioral reactivity to the market price but not to the extremes. Hence, players deliberately use an unbiased estimator of the central tendency of the appraisals distribution, while extreme asks' influence is consistent with a priming effect. |
| Author | Beraldo, Sergio Stimolo, Marco Filoso, Valerio Capasso, Salvatore |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1080/02724980042000084 10.1016/j.socec.2020.101629 10.1016/j.jcps.2009.12.003 10.2139/ssrn.3799854 10.1057/9780230389724 10.4135/9781529681451 10.1016/j.socec.2010.10.008 10.1126/science.7455683 10.1007/s10683-006-9159-4 10.1080/01621459.1995.10476572 10.1257/aer.104.1.277 10.1006/obhd.1999.2841 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.03.005 10.1007/s40881-020-00094-1 10.1257/aer.96.4.1069 10.1201/b16018 10.1017/CBO9780511611261 10.1007/s10683-009-9226-8 10.1111/1468-0297.00108 10.1016/j.joep.2010.01.006 10.2307/2215919 10.1006/jesp.2000.1431 10.1093/jcr/ucy052 10.1016/S1364-6613(00)01615-6 10.1016/j.jebo.2015.11.006 10.1162/00335530360535153 10.1111/meca.12232 10.1016/j.joep.2013.06.008 10.1257/jep.5.1.193 10.1037/0033-2909.132.2.297 10.1002/bdm.1794 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1961.tb02789.x |
| ContentType | Journal Article |
| Copyright | 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. |
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| DOI | 10.3390/g13010014 |
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| SubjectTerms | Appraisals Bayesian analysis bayesian methods Behavior Economics irrelevant market signals Market prices Players Preference analysis Priming Questionnaires Random variables shaping effect subjects' consideration |
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| Title | Consciously uncertain: A Bayesian analysis of preferences formation |
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