Reforming the European Common Agricultural Policy: From price & income support to risk management
Over the last 30 years, the European Union has significantly reformed its Common Agricultural Policy by introducing direct payments to farmers and reducing price support levels. While the European agricultural prices become more volatile, all economic models assessing these reforms remain static and...
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Published in | Journal of policy modeling Vol. 42; no. 3; pp. 712 - 727 |
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Main Authors | , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
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Elsevier Inc
01.05.2020
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ISSN | 0161-8938 1873-8060 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.02.008 |
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Abstract | Over the last 30 years, the European Union has significantly reformed its Common Agricultural Policy by introducing direct payments to farmers and reducing price support levels. While the European agricultural prices become more volatile, all economic models assessing these reforms remain static and ignore the risk dimensions. This paper develops an original stochastic computable general equilibrium model capturing the different sources of risk, farmers’ risk attitude and risk contingent markets. We find that the reduction of price support levels has modest market impacts but negative global welfare effects by exposing risk-averse European farmers to the world price volatility. This issue is not solved by the direct payments, which have negligible market and global welfare impacts through their wealth effects. On the other hand, we find that unbiased futures markets can solve this global welfare issue by allowing European farmers to transfer their price risks. Therefore, European policymakers should ensure well-functioning risk contingent markets rather than maintaining rigid intervention price levels. |
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AbstractList | Over the last 30 years, the European Union has significantly reformed its Common Agricultural Policy by introducing direct payments to farmers and reducing price support levels. While the European agricultural prices become more volatile, all economic models assessing these reforms remain static and ignore the risk dimensions. This paper develops an original stochastic computable general equilibrium model capturing the different sources of risk, farmers' risk attitude and risk contingent markets. We find that the reduction of price support levels has modest market impacts but negative global welfare effects by exposing risk-averse European farmers to the world price volatility. This issue is not solved by the direct payments, which have negligible market and global welfare impacts through their wealth effects. On the other hand, we find that unbiased futures markets can solve this global welfare issue by allowing European farmers to transfer their price risks. Therefore, European policymakers should ensure well-functioning risk contingent markets rather than maintaining rigid intervention price levels. (C) 2020 The Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Over the last 30 years, the European Union has significantly reformed its Common Agricultural Policy by introducing direct payments to farmers and reducing price support levels. While the European agricultural prices become more volatile, all economic models assessing these reforms remain static and ignore the risk dimensions. This paper develops an original stochastic computable general equilibrium model capturing the different sources of risk, farmers’ risk attitude and risk contingent markets. We find that the reduction of price support levels has modest market impacts but negative global welfare effects by exposing risk-averse European farmers to the world price volatility. This issue is not solved by the direct payments, which have negligible market and global welfare impacts through their wealth effects. On the other hand, we find that unbiased futures markets can solve this global welfare issue by allowing European farmers to transfer their price risks. Therefore, European policymakers should ensure well-functioning risk contingent markets rather than maintaining rigid intervention price levels. |
Author | Gohin, Alexandre Zheng, Yu |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Alexandre surname: Gohin fullname: Gohin, Alexandre email: alexandre.gohin@inrae.fr organization: INRAE (Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement), SMART-LERECO, 4 allée Adolphe Bobierre, 35000 Rennes, France – sequence: 2 givenname: Yu surname: Zheng fullname: Zheng, Yu email: yu.zheng@eiee.org organization: INRAE (Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement), SMART-LERECO, 4 allée Adolphe Bobierre, 35000 Rennes, France |
BackLink | https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-02911593$$DView record in HAL |
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Keywords | Common agricultural policy Risk contingent market Q14 Q17 G10 Q18 Risk Stochastic modeling |
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Title | Reforming the European Common Agricultural Policy: From price & income support to risk management |
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