Numerical Simulation of Global Temperature Change during the 20th Century with the IAP/LASG GOALS Model

The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th centuryusing historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass mixing ratio of sulfate aerosols simulated by aCTM model, and reconstruction of solar variability spanning the period 1900 to 1997. Four simulatio...

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Published inAdvances in atmospheric sciences Vol. 21; no. 2; pp. 227 - 235
Main Author 马晓燕 郭裕福 石广玉 俞永强
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Dordrecht Springer Nature B.V 01.03.2004
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospherics Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Scienses,Beijing 100029
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ISSN0256-1530
1861-9533
DOI10.1007/BF02915709

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Abstract The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th centuryusing historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass mixing ratio of sulfate aerosols simulated by aCTM model, and reconstruction of solar variability spanning the period 1900 to 1997. Four simulations,including a control simulation and three forcing simulations, are conducted. Comparison with the observa-tional record for the period indicates that the three forcing experiments simulate reasonable temporal andspatial distributions of the temperature change. The global warming during the 20th century is causedmainly by increasing greenhouse gas concentration especially since the late 1980s: sulfate aerosols offseta portion of the global warming and the reduction of global temperature is up to about 0.11°C over thecentury; additionally, the effect of solar variability is not negligible in the simulation of climate changeover the 20th century.
AbstractList The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th century using historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass mixing ratio of sulfate aerosols simulated by a CTM model, and reconstruction of solar variability spanning the period 1900 to 1997. Four simulations, including a control simulation and three forcing simulations, are conducted. Comparison with the observational record for the period indicates that the three forcing experiments simulate reasonable temporal and spatial distributions of the temperature change. The global warming during the 20th century is caused mainly by increasing greenhouse gas concentration especially since the late 1980s; sulfate aerosols offset a portion of the global warming and the reduction of global temperature is up to about 0.11 degree C over the century; additionally, the effect of solar variability is not negligible in the simulation of climate change over the 20th century.
The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th century using historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass mixing ratio of sulfate aerosols simulated by a CTM model, and reconstruction of solar variability spanning the period 1900 to 1997. Four simulations,including a control simulation and three forcing simulations, are conducted. Comparison with the observational record for the period indicates that the three forcing experiments simulate reasonable temporal and spatial distributions of the temperature change. The global warming during the 20th century is caused mainly by increasing greenhouse gas concentration especially since the late 1980s; sulfate aerosols offset a portion of the global warming and the reduction of global temperature is up to about 0.11°C over the century; additionally, the effect of solar variability is not negligible in the simulation of climate change over the 20th century.
The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th century using historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass mixing ratio of sulfate aerosols simulated by a CTM model, and reconstruction of solar variability spanning the period 1900 to 1997. Four simulations, including a control simulation and three forcing simulations, are conducted. Comparison with the observational record for the period indicates that the three forcing experiments simulate reasonable temporal and spatial distributions of the temperature change. The global warming during the 20th century is caused mainly by increasing greenhouse gas concentration especially since the late 1980s; sulfate aerosols offset a portion of the global warming and the reduction of global temperature is up to about 0.11°C over the century; additionally, the effect of solar variability is not negligible in the simulation of climate change over the 20th century.[PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th century using historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass mixing ratio of sulfate aerosols simulated by a CTM model, and reconstruction of solar variability spanning the period 1900 to 1997. Four simulations, including a control simulation and three forcing simulations, are conducted. Comparison with the observational record for the period indicates that the three forcing experiments simulate reasonable temporal and spatial distributions of the temperature change. The global warming during the 20th century is caused mainly by increasing greenhouse gas concentration especially since the late 1980s; sulfate aerosols offset a portion of the global warming and the reduction of global temperature is up to about 0.11 C over the century; additionally, the effect of solar variability is not negligible in the simulation of climate change over the 20th century.
The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th centuryusing historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass mixing ratio of sulfate aerosols simulated by aCTM model, and reconstruction of solar variability spanning the period 1900 to 1997. Four simulations,including a control simulation and three forcing simulations, are conducted. Comparison with the observa-tional record for the period indicates that the three forcing experiments simulate reasonable temporal andspatial distributions of the temperature change. The global warming during the 20th century is causedmainly by increasing greenhouse gas concentration especially since the late 1980s: sulfate aerosols offseta portion of the global warming and the reduction of global temperature is up to about 0.11°C over thecentury; additionally, the effect of solar variability is not negligible in the simulation of climate changeover the 20th century.
Author 马晓燕 郭裕福 石广玉 俞永强
AuthorAffiliation StateKeyLaboratoryofNumericalModelingforAtmosphericsSciencesandGeophysicalFluidDynamics,InstituteofAtmosphericPhysics.ChineseAcademyofSciences,Beijing100029
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Snippet The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th centuryusing historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass...
The IAP/LASG GOALS coupled model is used to simulate the climate change during the 20th century using historical greenhouse gases concentrations, the mass...
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SubjectTerms Aerosols
Climate change
Control simulation
Gases
Global temperatures
Global warming
Greenhouse effect
Greenhouse gases
Mathematical models
Mixing ratio
Numerical simulations
Simulation
Solar effects
Solar variability
Spatial distribution
Sulfate aerosols
Sulfates
Temperature
Temperature changes
Variability
全球温度
数字模拟
气候变化
Title Numerical Simulation of Global Temperature Change during the 20th Century with the IAP/LASG GOALS Model
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