No Local Birth Sex Ratio Changes following the August 2019 Shootings in Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, Texas
Objective: In humans, males are born slightly in excess of females. Many factors have been shown to affect this ratio, including stressful events such as terrorist attacks. Two shootings occurred in early August 2019 in the Oregon District in Dayton, Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, T...
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| Published in | Medical principles and practice Vol. 31; no. 1; pp. 83 - 87 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
Basel, Switzerland
S. Karger AG
01.03.2022
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| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 1011-7571 1423-0151 1423-0151 |
| DOI | 10.1159/000521338 |
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| Abstract | Objective: In humans, males are born slightly in excess of females. Many factors have been shown to affect this ratio, including stressful events such as terrorist attacks. Two shootings occurred in early August 2019 in the Oregon District in Dayton, Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, Texas, in the USA. This study was carried out in order to identify whether there were any effects on sex ratio at birth at the state or county level 3–5 months later. Subject and Methods: Births by sex, month of birth (2015–2019), and county were obtained for Ohio and Texas from the website of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Ordinary linear logistic regression was used to assess the time trend in the probability of boys and to investigate changes in the trend functions. Poisson regression (SAS GENMOD) and linear logistic regression using SAS procedure LOGISTIC was applied. Results: This study analyzed 2,623,714 live births, 1,939,938 in Texas (sex odds [SO] 1.044) and 683,776 in Ohio (SO 1.045). The only significant effect noted was seasonality (month) at the state level. Conclusion: It has been postulated that male fetal loss in pregnant women during stressful periods may occur in accordance with the Trivers-Willard hypothesis. Several studies have found significant effects after terrorist attacks in the USA (as well as in other countries), but this study did not reveal such effects. This may be due to several reasons including underpowered datasets and the possibility that populations may be becoming relatively immured to these events. |
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| AbstractList | Objective: In humans, males are born slightly in excess of females. Many factors have been shown to affect this ratio, including stressful events such as terrorist attacks. Two shootings occurred in early August 2019 in the Oregon District in Dayton, Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, Texas, in the USA. This study was carried out in order to identify whether there were any effects on sex ratio at birth at the state or county level 3–5 months later. Subject and Methods: Births by sex, month of birth (2015–2019), and county were obtained for Ohio and Texas from the website of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Ordinary linear logistic regression was used to assess the time trend in the probability of boys and to investigate changes in the trend functions. Poisson regression (SAS GENMOD) and linear logistic regression using SAS procedure LOGISTIC was applied. Results: This study analyzed 2,623,714 live births, 1,939,938 in Texas (sex odds [SO] 1.044) and 683,776 in Ohio (SO 1.045). The only significant effect noted was seasonality (month) at the state level. Conclusion: It has been postulated that male fetal loss in pregnant women during stressful periods may occur in accordance with the Trivers-Willard hypothesis. Several studies have found significant effects after terrorist attacks in the USA (as well as in other countries), but this study did not reveal such effects. This may be due to several reasons including underpowered datasets and the possibility that populations may be becoming relatively immured to these events. In humans, males are born slightly in excess of females. Many factors have been shown to affect this ratio, including stressful events such as terrorist attacks. Two shootings occurred in early August 2019 in the Oregon District in Dayton, Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, Texas, in the USA. This study was carried out in order to identify whether there were any effects on sex ratio at birth at the state or county level 3-5 months later.OBJECTIVEIn humans, males are born slightly in excess of females. Many factors have been shown to affect this ratio, including stressful events such as terrorist attacks. Two shootings occurred in early August 2019 in the Oregon District in Dayton, Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, Texas, in the USA. This study was carried out in order to identify whether there were any effects on sex ratio at birth at the state or county level 3-5 months later.Births by sex, month of birth (2015-2019), and county were obtained for Ohio and Texas from the website of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Ordinary linear logistic regression was used to assess the time trend in the probability of boys and to investigate changes in the trend functions. Poisson regression (SAS GENMOD) and linear logistic regression using SAS procedure LOGISTIC was applied.SUBJECT AND METHODSBirths by sex, month of birth (2015-2019), and county were obtained for Ohio and Texas from the website of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Ordinary linear logistic regression was used to assess the time trend in the probability of boys and to investigate changes in the trend functions. Poisson regression (SAS GENMOD) and linear logistic regression using SAS procedure LOGISTIC was applied.This study analyzed 2,623,714 live births, 1,939,938 in Texas (sex odds [SO] 1.044) and 683,776 in Ohio (SO 1.045). The only significant effect noted was seasonality (month) at the state level.RESULTSThis study analyzed 2,623,714 live births, 1,939,938 in Texas (sex odds [SO] 1.044) and 683,776 in Ohio (SO 1.045). The only significant effect noted was seasonality (month) at the state level.It has been postulated that male fetal loss in pregnant women during stressful periods may occur in accordance with the Trivers-Willard hypothesis. Several studies have found significant effects after terrorist attacks in the USA (as well as in other countries), but this study did not reveal such effects. This may be due to several reasons including underpowered datasets and the possibility that populations may be becoming relatively immured to these events.CONCLUSIONIt has been postulated that male fetal loss in pregnant women during stressful periods may occur in accordance with the Trivers-Willard hypothesis. Several studies have found significant effects after terrorist attacks in the USA (as well as in other countries), but this study did not reveal such effects. This may be due to several reasons including underpowered datasets and the possibility that populations may be becoming relatively immured to these events. In humans, males are born slightly in excess of females. Many factors have been shown to affect this ratio, including stressful events such as terrorist attacks. Two shootings occurred in early August 2019 in the Oregon District in Dayton, Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, Texas, in the USA. This study was carried out in order to identify whether there were any effects on sex ratio at birth at the state or county level 3-5 months later. Births by sex, month of birth (2015-2019), and county were obtained for Ohio and Texas from the website of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Ordinary linear logistic regression was used to assess the time trend in the probability of boys and to investigate changes in the trend functions. Poisson regression (SAS GENMOD) and linear logistic regression using SAS procedure LOGISTIC was applied. This study analyzed 2,623,714 live births, 1,939,938 in Texas (sex odds [SO] 1.044) and 683,776 in Ohio (SO 1.045). The only significant effect noted was seasonality (month) at the state level. It has been postulated that male fetal loss in pregnant women during stressful periods may occur in accordance with the Trivers-Willard hypothesis. Several studies have found significant effects after terrorist attacks in the USA (as well as in other countries), but this study did not reveal such effects. This may be due to several reasons including underpowered datasets and the possibility that populations may be becoming relatively immured to these events. |
| Author | Scherb, Hagen Grech, Victor |
| AuthorAffiliation | b Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Neuherberg, Germany a Medical School, University of Malta, Malta, Montana, USA |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2019.104858 10.1080/19485565.1988.9988703 10.1093/humrep/del283 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2015.10.011 10.1016/j.ejogrb.2015.05.012 10.1093/humrep/deg370 10.1016/S1701-2163(15)30254-1 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2020.105302 10.1098/rspb.2012.0320 10.1556/jep.7.2009.4.5 10.1093/humrep/14.12.3120 10.1111/apa.13507 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2020.104966 10.14712/18059694.2017.94 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2018.02.003 10.1073/pnas.0510567103 10.1111/j.1365-3016.2009.01028.x 10.1007/s11356-011-0462-z 10.1126/science.179.4068.90 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2019.104865 10.1002/ajhb.20636 10.1093/emph/eoaa012 10.5152/jtgga.2015.15009 |
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| Copyright | 2021 The Author(s). Published by S. Karger AG, Basel 2021 The Author(s). Published by S. Karger AG, Basel. 2021 The Author(s). Published by S. Karger AG, Basel . This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution – Non-Commercial License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. Copyright © 2021 by S. Karger AG, Basel 2021 |
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| References | Grech V. The Great Recession of 2007 in the United States and the male: female ratio at birth. J Turk Ger Gynecol Assoc. 2015 Jun 1;16(2):70–3. Grech V. The sex ratio at birth, the 10/17 Las Vegas shooting and the 01/18 Hawaii false missile alert. Early Hum Dev. 2020 Apr;143:104966. Bruckner T, Catalano R. The sex ratio and age-specific male mortality: evidence for culling in utero. Am J Hum Biol. 2007 Nov–Dec;19(6):763–73. Scherb H, Voigt K. The human sex odds at birth after the atmospheric atomic bomb tests, after Chernobyl, and in the vicinity of nuclear facilities. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2011 Jun;18(5):697–707. Catalano R, Bruckner T. Secondary sex ratios and male lifespan: damaged or culled cohorts. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Jan 31;103(5):1639–43. Catalano R, Casey JA, Bruckner TA. A test of oscillation in the human secondary sex ratio. Evol Med Public Health. 2020 Apr 21;2020(1):225–33. Grech V. Historic royal events and the male to female ratio at birth in the United Kingdom. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 2015 Aug;191:57–61. Jacobsen R, Møller H, Mouritsen A. Natural variation in the human sex ratio. Hum Reprod. 1999 Dec;14(12):3120–5. Catalano RA. Sex ratios in the two Germanies: a test of the economic stress hypothesis. Hum Reprod. 2003 Sep;18(9):1972–5. West L, Grech V. A systematic search of the factors that influence the sex ratio at birth. Early Hum Dev. 2020 Jan;140:104865. Trivers RL, Willard DE. Natural selection of parental ability to vary the sex ratio of offspring. Science. 1973 Jan 5;179(4068):90–2. Catalano R, Ahern J, Bruckner T, Anderson E, Saxton K. Gender-specific selection in utero among contemporary human birth cohorts. Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol. 2009 May;23(3):273–8. Grech V, Mamo J. What is the sex ratio at birth. Early Hum Dev. 2020 Jan;140:104858. Masukume G, OʼNeill SM, Khashan AS, Kenny LC, Grech V. The terrorist attacks and the human live birth sex ratio: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Acta Medica. 2017;60(2):59–65. Santos-Lozada AR. A cautionary tale for measuring the effect of the 10/17 Las Vegas shooting and the 01/18 Hawaii false missile alert. Early Hum Dev. 2021 Feb;153:105302. Grech V. Terrorist attacks and the male-to-female ratio at birth: the troubles in Northern Ireland, the Rodney King riots, and the Breivik and Sandy Hook shootings. Early Hum Dev. 2015 Dec;91(12):837–40. Grant VJ. Wartime sex ratios: stress, male vulnerability and the interpretation of atypical sex ratio data. J Evol Psychol. 2009 Dec 1;7(4):251–62. Scherb H, Voigt K. The human sex odds at birth after the atmospheric atomic bomb tests, after Chernobyl, and in the vicinity of nuclear facilities: comment. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2012;19(4):1335–40. Grech V, Borg T. Seasonality of sex ratio at births in Iceland and effects of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull volcanic eruption. Acta Paediatr. 2016 Nov;105(11):1369–70. Song S. Does famine influence sex ratio at birth? Evidence from the 1959–1961 great leap forward famine in China. Proc Biol Sci. 2012 Jul 22;279(1739):2883–90. Chahnazarian A. Determinants of the sex ratio at birth: review of recent literature. Soc Biol. 1988;35(3–4):214–35. Catalano R, Bruckner T, Marks AR, Eskenazi B. Exogenous shocks to the human sex ratio: the case of September 11, 2001 in New York City. Hum Reprod. 2006 Dec;21(12):3127–31. Grech V. The secondary sex ratio at birth was depressed in Quebec by the sovereignty referendums. J Obstet Gynaecol Can. 2015 May;37(5):405–11. James WH, Grech V. Can sex ratios at birth be used in the assessment of public health, and in the identification of causes of selected pathologies. Early Hum Dev. 2018 Mar;118:15–21. ref13 ref12 ref23 ref15 ref14 ref20 ref11 ref22 ref10 ref21 ref2 ref1 ref17 ref16 ref19 ref18 ref8 ref7 ref9 ref4 ref3 ref6 ref5 |
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The secondary sex ratio at birth was depressed in Quebec by the sovereignty referendums. J Obstet Gynaecol Can. 2015 May;37(5):405–11. – reference: Catalano R, Casey JA, Bruckner TA. A test of oscillation in the human secondary sex ratio. Evol Med Public Health. 2020 Apr 21;2020(1):225–33. – reference: Chahnazarian A. Determinants of the sex ratio at birth: review of recent literature. Soc Biol. 1988;35(3–4):214–35. – reference: Grech V, Borg T. Seasonality of sex ratio at births in Iceland and effects of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull volcanic eruption. Acta Paediatr. 2016 Nov;105(11):1369–70. – reference: West L, Grech V. A systematic search of the factors that influence the sex ratio at birth. Early Hum Dev. 2020 Jan;140:104865. – reference: Grech V, Mamo J. What is the sex ratio at birth. Early Hum Dev. 2020 Jan;140:104858. – reference: Catalano R, Bruckner T, Marks AR, Eskenazi B. Exogenous shocks to the human sex ratio: the case of September 11, 2001 in New York City. Hum Reprod. 2006 Dec;21(12):3127–31. – reference: Masukume G, OʼNeill SM, Khashan AS, Kenny LC, Grech V. The terrorist attacks and the human live birth sex ratio: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Acta Medica. 2017;60(2):59–65. – reference: Santos-Lozada AR. A cautionary tale for measuring the effect of the 10/17 Las Vegas shooting and the 01/18 Hawaii false missile alert. Early Hum Dev. 2021 Feb;153:105302. – reference: Scherb H, Voigt K. The human sex odds at birth after the atmospheric atomic bomb tests, after Chernobyl, and in the vicinity of nuclear facilities. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2011 Jun;18(5):697–707. – reference: Grech V. The sex ratio at birth, the 10/17 Las Vegas shooting and the 01/18 Hawaii false missile alert. Early Hum Dev. 2020 Apr;143:104966. – reference: Trivers RL, Willard DE. Natural selection of parental ability to vary the sex ratio of offspring. Science. 1973 Jan 5;179(4068):90–2. – reference: James WH, Grech V. Can sex ratios at birth be used in the assessment of public health, and in the identification of causes of selected pathologies. Early Hum Dev. 2018 Mar;118:15–21. – reference: Catalano RA. Sex ratios in the two Germanies: a test of the economic stress hypothesis. Hum Reprod. 2003 Sep;18(9):1972–5. – reference: Catalano R, Bruckner T. Secondary sex ratios and male lifespan: damaged or culled cohorts. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Jan 31;103(5):1639–43. – reference: Scherb H, Voigt K. The human sex odds at birth after the atmospheric atomic bomb tests, after Chernobyl, and in the vicinity of nuclear facilities: comment. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2012;19(4):1335–40. – reference: Bruckner T, Catalano R. The sex ratio and age-specific male mortality: evidence for culling in utero. Am J Hum Biol. 2007 Nov–Dec;19(6):763–73. – reference: Grech V. Historic royal events and the male to female ratio at birth in the United Kingdom. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 2015 Aug;191:57–61. – reference: Jacobsen R, Møller H, Mouritsen A. Natural variation in the human sex ratio. 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| SubjectTerms | Births Conflicts of interest Female Females Fetuses Gun Violence Humans Infant, Newborn Male Males Miscarriage Ohio - epidemiology Original Paper Pregnancy Regression analysis School violence Seasonal variations September 11 terrorist attacks-2001 Sex Ratio Shootings Software Texas - epidemiology Trends |
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| Title | No Local Birth Sex Ratio Changes following the August 2019 Shootings in Montgomery County, Ohio, and in El Paso County, Texas |
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