AN ELEMENTARY DERIVATION OF MOMENTS OF HAWKES PROCESSES

Hawkes processes have been widely used in many areas, but their probability properties can be quite difficult. In this paper an elementary approach is presented to obtain moments of Hawkes processes and/or the intensity of a number of marked Hawkes processes, in which the detailed outline is given s...

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Published inAdvances in applied probability Vol. 52; no. 1; pp. 102 - 137
Main Authors CUI, LIRONG, HAWKES, ALAN, YI, HE
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Sheffield Applied Probability Trust 01.03.2020
Cambridge University Press
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0001-8678
1475-6064
1475-6064
DOI10.1017/apr.2019.53

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Abstract Hawkes processes have been widely used in many areas, but their probability properties can be quite difficult. In this paper an elementary approach is presented to obtain moments of Hawkes processes and/or the intensity of a number of marked Hawkes processes, in which the detailed outline is given step by step; it works not only for all Markovian Hawkes processes but also for some non-Markovian Hawkes processes. The approach is simpler and more convenient than usual methods such as the Dynkin formula and martingale methods. The method is applied to one-dimensional Hawkes processes and other related processes such as Cox processes, dynamic contagion processes, inhomogeneous Poisson processes, and non-Markovian cases. Several results are obtained which may be useful in studying Hawkes processes and other counting processes. Our proposed method is an extension of the Dynkin formula, which is simple and easy to use.
AbstractList Hawkes processes have been widely used in many areas, but their probability properties can be quite difficult. In this paper an elementary approach is presented to obtain moments of Hawkes processes and/or the intensity of a number of marked Hawkes processes, in which the detailed outline is given step by step; it works not only for all Markovian Hawkes processes but also for some non-Markovian Hawkes processes. The approach is simpler and more convenient than usual methods such as the Dynkin formula and martingale methods. The method is applied to one-dimensional Hawkes processes and other related processes such as Cox processes, dynamic contagion processes, inhomogeneous Poisson processes, and non-Markovian cases. Several results are obtained which may be useful in studying Hawkes processes and other counting processes. Our proposed method is an extension of the Dynkin formula, which is simple and easy to use.
Author HAWKES, ALAN
CUI, LIRONG
YI, HE
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Earthquakes
Martingales
Original Articles
Probability
Random variables
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Title AN ELEMENTARY DERIVATION OF MOMENTS OF HAWKES PROCESSES
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