Of Issues and Leaders: Forecasting the 2020 US Presidential Election

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published inPS, political science & politics Vol. 54; no. 1; pp. 70 - 72
Main Author Graefe, Andreas
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published New York, USA Cambridge University Press 01.01.2021
Subjects
Agenda Setting
Candidates
Coronaviruses
Elections
Forecasting
Forecasting the 2020 US Elections
Leaders
Leadership
Multiple Regression Analysis
Perceptions
Political campaigns
Politics
Polls & surveys
Presidential elections
Presidents
Race relations
Racial Relations
Writing
United States > US
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN1049-0965
1537-5935
DOI10.1017/S1049096520001390

Cover

Author Graefe, Andreas
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Andreas
  orcidid: 0000-0001-6406-8811
  surname: Graefe
  fullname: Graefe, Andreas
  email: graefe.andreas@gmail.com
  organization: Macromedia University of Applied Sciences, Germany
BookMark eNp9kEFLAzEQhYNUsFZ_gLeA59XJJtlsvElttVCoUHtestnZmrLdrUl68N-7pQVB0dMMzPtm3rxLMmi7Fgm5YXDHgKn7JQOhQWcyBQDGNZyRIZNcJVJzOej7fpwc5hfkMoRNL4JcwpA8LWo6C2GPgZq2onM0FfrwQKedR2tCdO2axnekKaRAV0v66jG4CtvoTEMnDdrouvaKnNemCXh9qiOymk7exi_JfPE8Gz_OE8uZiom21jBpWVaaWoA2qRYqM5xBxo0AmyEyVqW1rljJQdQiU9pw1KXM80oKUfIRuT3u3fnuo7cci023921_skiFkioDlee9ih1V1ncheKyLnXdb4z8LBsUhrOJXWD2jfjDWRXP4LXrjmn9JfiLNtvSuWuO3qb-pL6vUe34
CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_1017_S1049096520001420
Cites_doi 10.1080/0363775032000179133
10.7910/DVN/T6FKLQ
10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.031
10.1177/2053168016679364
10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.038
10.2307/2111797
10.1016/j.electstud.2010.11.013
10.3998/mpub.92266
10.1016/j.electstud.2013.04.003
ContentType Journal Article
Copyright The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association
Copyright_xml – notice: The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association
DBID AAYXX
CITATION
0-V
3V.
7U4
7UB
7XB
88B
88F
88J
8FK
8G5
ABUWG
AFKRA
ALSLI
AZQEC
BENPR
BHHNA
CCPQU
CJNVE
DPSOV
DWI
DWQXO
GNUQQ
GUQSH
KC-
M0P
M1Q
M2L
M2O
M2R
MBDVC
PHGZM
PHGZT
PKEHL
POGQB
PQEDU
PQEST
PQQKQ
PQUKI
PRINS
PRQQA
Q9U
WZK
DOI 10.1017/S1049096520001390
DatabaseName CrossRef
ProQuest Social Sciences Premium Collection
ProQuest Central (Corporate)
Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017)
Worldwide Political Science Abstracts
ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)
Education Database (Alumni Edition)
Military Database (Alumni Edition)
Social Science Database (Alumni Edition)
ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)
Research Library (Alumni Edition)
ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)
ProQuest Central UK/Ireland
Social Science Premium Collection
ProQuest Central Essentials
ProQuest Central
Sociological Abstracts
ProQuest One Community College
Education Collection
Politics Collection
Sociological Abstracts
ProQuest Central Korea
ProQuest Central Student
Research Library Prep
ProQuest Politics Collection
Education Database
Military Database
Political Science Database
Research Library
Social Science Database
Research Library (Corporate)
ProQuest Central Premium
ProQuest One Academic (New)
ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New)
ProQuest Sociology & Social Sciences Collection
ProQuest One Education
ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)
ProQuest One Academic
ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition
ProQuest Central China
ProQuest One Social Sciences
ProQuest Central Basic
Sociological Abstracts (Ovid)
DatabaseTitle CrossRef
ProQuest One Education
Research Library Prep
ProQuest Sociology & Social Sciences Collection
ProQuest Central Student
ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New)
ProQuest Central Essentials
ProQuest Social Science Journals (Alumni Edition)
ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)
ProQuest One Community College
Research Library (Alumni Edition)
Politics Collection
ProQuest Military Collection
Sociology & Social Sciences Collection
ProQuest Central China
ProQuest Central
ProQuest Central Korea
ProQuest Research Library
Worldwide Political Science Abstracts
ProQuest Central (New)
Social Science Premium Collection
ProQuest Political Science
Education Collection
ProQuest One Social Sciences
ProQuest Central Basic
ProQuest Education Journals
ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition
ProQuest Military Collection (Alumni Edition)
Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017)
ProQuest Social Science Journals
ProQuest Social Sciences Premium Collection
ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition
Sociological Abstracts
ProQuest Politics Collection
ProQuest One Academic
ProQuest Education Journals (Alumni Edition)
ProQuest One Academic (New)
ProQuest Central (Alumni)
Database_xml – sequence: 1
  dbid: BENPR
  name: ProQuest Central
  url: http://www.proquest.com/pqcentral?accountid=15518
  sourceTypes: Aggregation Database
DeliveryMethod fulltext_linktorsrc
Discipline Political Science
EISSN 1537-5935
EndPage 72
ExternalDocumentID 10_1017_S1049096520001390
GeographicLocations United States--US
GeographicLocations_xml – name: United States--US
GroupedDBID --Z
-DZ
-E.
-ET
-~X
.FH
0-V
09C
09D
0E1
0R~
123
1OL
29P
2AX
3R3
3V.
4.4
5BI
5VS
63O
6TJ
6~8
74X
74Z
7K8
7~V
85S
8G5
8I0
8R4
8R5
AABES
AABWE
AACJH
AADNG
AAEED
AAGFV
AAIKC
AAKTX
AALKF
AAMNW
AAPYI
AARAB
AASVR
AAUKB
AAYOK
ABBHK
ABBXD
ABITZ
ABJNI
ABJWI
ABLJU
ABPPZ
ABQWD
ABROB
ABTCQ
ABTND
ABUWG
ABXAU
ABXSQ
ABYPY
ABZCX
ABZUI
ACABY
ACCHT
ACFCP
ACGFO
ACGFS
ACIMK
ACNCT
ACQFJ
ACQPF
ACREK
ACUIJ
ACUYZ
ACWGA
ACYZP
ACZBM
ACZBN
ADACV
ADBZK
ADFEC
ADGEJ
ADKIL
ADOCW
ADOVH
ADTCA
ADULT
ADVJH
AEBAK
AEBPU
AEFOJ
AEHGV
AEUPB
AEYYC
AFDAS
AFDVO
AFFTP
AFFUJ
AFHKK
AFKQG
AFKRA
AFKRZ
AFKSM
AFLVW
AFUTZ
AGABE
AGHGI
AGJUD
AGLWM
AGNAY
AGOOT
AGTJU
AHQXX
AHRGI
AIBGX
AIGNW
AIHIV
AISIE
AJ7
AJPFC
AJQAS
AKZCZ
ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS
ALSLI
ALVPG
ANFVQ
ANPLD
AOWSX
APSAP
APXXL
ARABE
ARALO
ARZZG
AS~
ATUCA
AUXHV
AVDNQ
AWRMI
AWSUU
AYIQA
AZQEC
B-7
BBLKV
BBQHK
BENPR
BGHMG
BJBOZ
BKOMP
BMAJL
BPHCQ
BQFHP
C0O
CAG
CCPQU
CCQAD
CCUQV
CFAFE
CFBFF
CFLAC
CGMFO
CHEAL
CJCSC
CJNVE
COF
CS3
DOHLZ
DPSOV
DWQXO
EBS
ED0
EGQIC
EJD
F20
FAC
FAS
FJW
FXEWX
GDOGT
GNUQQ
GUQSH
HF~
HG-
HGD
HOVLH
HSS
HST
HVGLF
HZ~
H~9
I.5
I.7
I.8
IAO
IBB
IBG
IEA
IH6
IOEEP
IOF
IOO
IPO
IS6
ITC
I~P
J36
J38
J3B
JAAYA
JAC
JBMMH
JBZCM
JENOY
JHFFW
JHPGK
JKQEH
JLEZI
JLXEF
JOSPZ
JPL
JPPIE
JQKCU
JRMXA
JSODD
JST
KAFGG
KC-
L98
LW7
M-V
M0P
M1Q
M2L
M2O
M2R
M7~
M8.
MVM
NEJ
NIKVX
O9-
OYBOY
P2P
PQQKQ
PRG
PROAC
PZZ
Q2X
RCA
ROL
RR0
RWL
RXW
S6U
SA0
SJN
T9M
TAE
TN5
UKR
UQL
UT1
WFFJZ
WH7
WHG
WQ3
WXS
WXY
WYP
XIH
XSW
XZL
YNT
YXE
YZZ
ZA5
ZCG
ZJOSE
ZMEZD
ZUP
ZYDXJ
~A4
AATMM
AAYXX
AAZSN
ABAWQ
ABGDZ
ABVKB
ABXHF
ACDLN
ACHJO
ACRPL
ADMHG
ADNMO
AEMFK
AFZFC
AGQPQ
AKMAY
CBIIA
CITATION
IPSME
P-O
PHGZM
PHGZT
PQEDU
YR5
7U4
7UB
7XB
8FK
AGTDA
BHHNA
DWI
MBDVC
PKEHL
POGQB
PQEST
PQUKI
PRINS
PRQQA
Q9U
WZK
ID FETCH-LOGICAL-c317t-9cca15c16baf409a29476a31063a40c6ee11d2f9d1b304f4679a3e9b588d544b3
IEDL.DBID BENPR
ISSN 1049-0965
IngestDate Sat Aug 23 14:28:20 EDT 2025
Tue Jul 01 02:07:40 EDT 2025
Thu Apr 24 22:54:16 EDT 2025
Wed Mar 13 05:49:13 EDT 2024
IsPeerReviewed true
IsScholarly true
Issue 1
Language English
License https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms
LinkModel DirectLink
MergedId FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c317t-9cca15c16baf409a29476a31063a40c6ee11d2f9d1b304f4679a3e9b588d544b3
Notes ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
content type line 14
ORCID 0000-0001-6406-8811
PQID 2475760788
PQPubID 34676
PageCount 3
ParticipantIDs proquest_journals_2475760788
crossref_primary_10_1017_S1049096520001390
crossref_citationtrail_10_1017_S1049096520001390
cambridge_journals_10_1017_S1049096520001390
ProviderPackageCode CITATION
AAYXX
PublicationCentury 2000
PublicationDate 20210100
2021-01-00
20210101
PublicationDateYYYYMMDD 2021-01-01
PublicationDate_xml – month: 01
  year: 2021
  text: 20210100
PublicationDecade 2020
PublicationPlace New York, USA
PublicationPlace_xml – name: New York, USA
– name: Washington
PublicationTitle PS, political science & politics
PublicationTitleAlternate APSC
PublicationYear 2021
Publisher Cambridge University Press
Publisher_xml – name: Cambridge University Press
References 2015; 68
2011; 30
2013; 32
1996; 40
2003; 70
2016; 3
S1049096520001390_r4
S1049096520001390_r2
S1049096520001390_r1
S1049096520001390_r8
S1049096520001390_r7
S1049096520001390_r6
S1049096520001390_r5
S1049096520001390_r10
Campbell (S1049096520001390_r3) 1980
S1049096520001390_r9
References_xml – volume: 70
  start-page: 335
  issue: 4
  year: 2003
  article-title: A Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Viewing US Presidential Debates
  publication-title: Communication Monographs
– volume: 68
  start-page: 1792
  issue: 8
  year: 2015
  article-title: Improving Forecasts Using Equally Weighted Predictors
  publication-title: Journal of Business Research
– volume: 40
  start-page: 825
  issue: 3
  year: 1996
  article-title: Issue Ownership in Presidential Elections, with a 1980 Case Study
  publication-title: American Journal of Political Science
– volume: 32
  start-page: 644
  issue: 4
  year: 2013
  article-title: Issue and Leader Voting in US Presidential Elections
  publication-title: Electoral Studies
– volume: 3
  start-page: 2
  issue: 4
  year: 2016
  end-page: 5
  article-title: Issue-Handling Beats Leadership: Issues and Leaders Model Predicts Clinton Will Defeat Trump
  publication-title: Research & Politics
– volume: 30
  start-page: 450
  issue: 3
  year: 2011
  article-title: Yes We Can! Valence Politics and Electoral Choice in America, 2008
  publication-title: Electoral Studies
– volume: 68
  start-page: 1717
  issue: 8
  year: 2015
  article-title: Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be Conservative
  publication-title: Journal of Business Research
– ident: S1049096520001390_r2
  doi: 10.1080/0363775032000179133
– ident: S1049096520001390_r8
  doi: 10.7910/DVN/T6FKLQ
– ident: S1049096520001390_r1
  doi: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.031
– ident: S1049096520001390_r7
  doi: 10.1177/2053168016679364
– ident: S1049096520001390_r6
  doi: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.038
– ident: S1049096520001390_r10
  doi: 10.2307/2111797
– ident: S1049096520001390_r4
  doi: 10.1016/j.electstud.2010.11.013
– ident: S1049096520001390_r9
  doi: 10.3998/mpub.92266
– volume-title: The American Voter
  year: 1980
  ident: S1049096520001390_r3
– ident: S1049096520001390_r5
  doi: 10.1016/j.electstud.2013.04.003
SSID ssj0000850
Score 2.2676709
SourceID proquest
crossref
cambridge
SourceType Aggregation Database
Enrichment Source
Index Database
Publisher
StartPage 70
SubjectTerms Agenda Setting
Candidates
Coronaviruses
Elections
Forecasting
Forecasting the 2020 US Elections
Leaders
Leadership
Multiple Regression Analysis
Perceptions
Political campaigns
Politics
Polls & surveys
Presidential elections
Presidents
Race relations
Racial Relations
Writing
Title Of Issues and Leaders: Forecasting the 2020 US Presidential Election
URI https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1049096520001390/type/journal_article
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2475760788
Volume 54
hasFullText 1
inHoldings 1
isFullTextHit
isPrint
link http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwfV1dS8MwFA1ze_FF5hdOp-TBJzHYtGmTCCJ-bAzBKepgbyVtEhBGN938_9606eYQ9po0peTe3HuanNyD0DkgIQZAhBOpaERYRilR1BqiLVdWGiO4dlsDz8NkMGJP43jcQMP6LoyjVdYxsQzUepq7PfKrkHGAxpDQxO3sizjVKHe6WktoKC-toG_KEmNbqAUhWYDft-57w9e3VWwWsa9P4IhCSVyfc7oi0q7RtYUVLgr-VltYz1rrQbvMRP022vEQEt9VNt9FDVPsobYnskGHX6776PHF4kpdD6tC40pNc36NnRxnruaO8IwB_-EQwBwevWNHx_gsL-7CW3qTkqRVHKBRv_fxMCBeNYHkgAUWRIJNaJzTJFMWft5UKBlPFKC4JFIsyBNjKNWhlZpmUcAsBEqpIiOzWAgdM5ZFh6hZTAtzhLCyVuSJgowvDGMxBywZlldztWaSZ7qDLpczlHrfn6cVb4yn_ya0g4J6EtPcVyB3QhiTTUMulkNmVfmNTQ93a8usvmblN8ebu0_Qduj4KuX2Shc1F98_5hQAxyI78170C5SPy-k
linkProvider ProQuest
linkToHtml http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwtV1LSwMxEB60PehFfGK1ag56ERebbPYliPiotD6qqAVva3aTgCBrtRXxz_nbnOxmW4vQm9dkE3YnszNfkpn5ALYRCXEEIoETCeo6PKHUEVQrR-pA6EipMJDmaOC647e6_OLRe5yC7zIXxoRVljYxN9TyNTVn5PuMBwiN0aGFR703x7BGmdvVkkJDWGoFeZiXGLOJHZfq6xO3cP3D9hmu9w5j582H05ZjWQacFH3nwInwG6iXUj8RGjc7gkU88AWiHt8VvJH6SlEqmY4kTXDrr9GwRMJVUeKFofQ4T1ycdxqq3GS4VqB60uzc3o18QejZeggmMMn3yntVU7TaNJo2VuCwxu_qDuNectxJ5J7vfB7mLGQlx4WOLcCUyhZh3gbOYYc1D0twdqNJweZHRCZJwd7ZPyCG_jMVfRNgTRBvEobgkXTviQn_eM4ThXGW5kseFJYtQ_df5LcClew1U6tAhNZh6gtEGKHi3AsQu7I8FVhKHgWJrMHeUEKx_df6cRGnFsR_BFqDRinEOLUVzw3xxsukIbvDIb2i3Mekh-vlyozeZqSna5O7t2Cm9XB9FV-1O5frMMtMrEx-tFOHyuD9Q20g2Bkkm1ajCDz9txL_AGbsCDM
openUrl ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Of+Issues+and+Leaders%3A+Forecasting+the+2020+US+Presidential+Election&rft.jtitle=PS%2C+political+science+%26+politics&rft.au=Graefe%2C+Andreas&rft.date=2021-01-01&rft.issn=1049-0965&rft.eissn=1537-5935&rft.volume=54&rft.issue=1&rft.spage=70&rft.epage=72&rft_id=info:doi/10.1017%2FS1049096520001390&rft.externalDBID=n%2Fa&rft.externalDocID=10_1017_S1049096520001390
thumbnail_l http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=1049-0965&client=summon
thumbnail_m http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=1049-0965&client=summon
thumbnail_s http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=1049-0965&client=summon