A two-player newsvendor game with competition on demand under ambiguity
We deal with a single period two-player newsvendor game where both newsvendors are assumed to be rational and risk-neutral, and to operate under ambiguity. Each newsvendor needs to choose his/her order quantity of the same perishable product, whose global market demand is modeled by a discrete rando...
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          | Published in | International journal of approximate reasoning Vol. 187; p. 109546 | 
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| Main Authors | , , | 
| Format | Journal Article | 
| Language | English | 
| Published | 
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        01.12.2025
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| ISSN | 0888-613X 1873-4731  | 
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ijar.2025.109546 | 
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| Abstract | We deal with a single period two-player newsvendor game where both newsvendors are assumed to be rational and risk-neutral, and to operate under ambiguity. Each newsvendor needs to choose his/her order quantity of the same perishable product, whose global market demand is modeled by a discrete random variable, endowed with a reference probability measure. Furthermore, the global market demand is distributed to newsvendors according to a proportional allocation rule. We model the uncertainty faced by each newsvendor with an individual ϵ-contamination of the reference probability measure, computed with respect to a suitable class of probability measures. The resulting ϵ-contamination model preserves the expected demand under the reference probability and is used to compute the individual lower expected profit as a Choquet expectation. Therefore, the optimization problem of each player reduces to settle the order quantity that maximizes his/her lower expected profit, given the opponent choice, which is a maximin problem. In the resulting game, we prove that a Nash equilibrium always exists, though it may not be unique. Finally, we provide a characterization of Nash equilibria in terms of best response functions.
•Definition of a two-player newsvendor game under ambiguity.•Formulation of a lower expected profit function as a Choquet expectation.•Closed-form expression of the best response functions of players.•Proof of existence and characterization of the set of Nash equilibria. | 
    
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| AbstractList | We deal with a single period two-player newsvendor game where both newsvendors are assumed to be rational and risk-neutral, and to operate under ambiguity. Each newsvendor needs to choose his/her order quantity of the same perishable product, whose global market demand is modeled by a discrete random variable, endowed with a reference probability measure. Furthermore, the global market demand is distributed to newsvendors according to a proportional allocation rule. We model the uncertainty faced by each newsvendor with an individual ϵ-contamination of the reference probability measure, computed with respect to a suitable class of probability measures. The resulting ϵ-contamination model preserves the expected demand under the reference probability and is used to compute the individual lower expected profit as a Choquet expectation. Therefore, the optimization problem of each player reduces to settle the order quantity that maximizes his/her lower expected profit, given the opponent choice, which is a maximin problem. In the resulting game, we prove that a Nash equilibrium always exists, though it may not be unique. Finally, we provide a characterization of Nash equilibria in terms of best response functions.
•Definition of a two-player newsvendor game under ambiguity.•Formulation of a lower expected profit function as a Choquet expectation.•Closed-form expression of the best response functions of players.•Proof of existence and characterization of the set of Nash equilibria. | 
    
| ArticleNumber | 109546 | 
    
| Author | Cinfrignini, Andrea Petturiti, Davide Lorenzini, Silvia  | 
    
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| Keywords | Nash equilibrium ϵ-contamination Newsvendor game Ambiguity  | 
    
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| Title | A two-player newsvendor game with competition on demand under ambiguity | 
    
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