A two-player newsvendor game with competition on demand under ambiguity

We deal with a single period two-player newsvendor game where both newsvendors are assumed to be rational and risk-neutral, and to operate under ambiguity. Each newsvendor needs to choose his/her order quantity of the same perishable product, whose global market demand is modeled by a discrete rando...

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Published inInternational journal of approximate reasoning Vol. 187; p. 109546
Main Authors Cinfrignini, Andrea, Lorenzini, Silvia, Petturiti, Davide
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier Inc 01.12.2025
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0888-613X
1873-4731
DOI10.1016/j.ijar.2025.109546

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Abstract We deal with a single period two-player newsvendor game where both newsvendors are assumed to be rational and risk-neutral, and to operate under ambiguity. Each newsvendor needs to choose his/her order quantity of the same perishable product, whose global market demand is modeled by a discrete random variable, endowed with a reference probability measure. Furthermore, the global market demand is distributed to newsvendors according to a proportional allocation rule. We model the uncertainty faced by each newsvendor with an individual ϵ-contamination of the reference probability measure, computed with respect to a suitable class of probability measures. The resulting ϵ-contamination model preserves the expected demand under the reference probability and is used to compute the individual lower expected profit as a Choquet expectation. Therefore, the optimization problem of each player reduces to settle the order quantity that maximizes his/her lower expected profit, given the opponent choice, which is a maximin problem. In the resulting game, we prove that a Nash equilibrium always exists, though it may not be unique. Finally, we provide a characterization of Nash equilibria in terms of best response functions. •Definition of a two-player newsvendor game under ambiguity.•Formulation of a lower expected profit function as a Choquet expectation.•Closed-form expression of the best response functions of players.•Proof of existence and characterization of the set of Nash equilibria.
AbstractList We deal with a single period two-player newsvendor game where both newsvendors are assumed to be rational and risk-neutral, and to operate under ambiguity. Each newsvendor needs to choose his/her order quantity of the same perishable product, whose global market demand is modeled by a discrete random variable, endowed with a reference probability measure. Furthermore, the global market demand is distributed to newsvendors according to a proportional allocation rule. We model the uncertainty faced by each newsvendor with an individual ϵ-contamination of the reference probability measure, computed with respect to a suitable class of probability measures. The resulting ϵ-contamination model preserves the expected demand under the reference probability and is used to compute the individual lower expected profit as a Choquet expectation. Therefore, the optimization problem of each player reduces to settle the order quantity that maximizes his/her lower expected profit, given the opponent choice, which is a maximin problem. In the resulting game, we prove that a Nash equilibrium always exists, though it may not be unique. Finally, we provide a characterization of Nash equilibria in terms of best response functions. •Definition of a two-player newsvendor game under ambiguity.•Formulation of a lower expected profit function as a Choquet expectation.•Closed-form expression of the best response functions of players.•Proof of existence and characterization of the set of Nash equilibria.
ArticleNumber 109546
Author Cinfrignini, Andrea
Petturiti, Davide
Lorenzini, Silvia
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  orcidid: 0000-0002-2482-8318
  surname: Cinfrignini
  fullname: Cinfrignini, Andrea
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  organization: Dept. Economics and Statistics, University of Siena, 53100 Siena, Italy
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  givenname: Silvia
  orcidid: 0009-0008-1785-3065
  surname: Lorenzini
  fullname: Lorenzini, Silvia
  email: silvia.lorenzini@dottorandi.unipg.it
  organization: Dept. Economics, University of Perugia, 06123 Perugia, Italy
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  givenname: Davide
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  surname: Petturiti
  fullname: Petturiti, Davide
  email: davide.petturiti@unipg.it
  organization: Dept. Economics, University of Perugia, 06123 Perugia, Italy
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10.1007/s10479-023-05577-y
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Keywords Nash equilibrium
ϵ-contamination
Newsvendor game
Ambiguity
Language English
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Snippet We deal with a single period two-player newsvendor game where both newsvendors are assumed to be rational and risk-neutral, and to operate under ambiguity....
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SubjectTerms Ambiguity
Nash equilibrium
Newsvendor game
ϵ-contamination
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Title A two-player newsvendor game with competition on demand under ambiguity
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