Commuting departure time choice under stochastic demand: Departure preferences and the value of information

• Published in: Transportation research. Part A, Policy and practice Vol. 197; p. 104476
• Main Authors: Han, Xiao, Yang, Yong, Jiang, Rui, Gao, Zi-You, Zhang, H. Michael
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier Ltd 01.07.2025
• Subjects: Departure preference; Departure time choice; Information provision; Laboratory experiment; Stochastic demand; Information provision; Departure time choice; Departure preference; Laboratory experiment; Stochastic demand
• ISSN: 0965-8564
• DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2025.104476

This paper experimentally investigates morning commute behavior under stochastic demand and information provision. To understand the effects of information on departure time choice behavior and how commuters respond to the provided information under stochastic demand, we conducted a laboratory experiment involving two treatments with different amounts of information provided to the subjects. Our experimental results indicated that (I) the departure rates under different demands could be unified as a set of normalized departure rates, (II) feedback information affected departure time choice behavior, and more feedback information might induce worse outcomes (i.e., information paradox), (III) subjects showed heterogeneous departure time preferences, and providing more feedback information might make more subjects choose to depart early, and (IV) a small increase in the number of subjects with early departure preferences could increase traffic congestion under high demand and reduce the efficient use of transport systems. Our experimental studies shed light on the importance and complexity of information provision and departure time preferences on the morning commute traffic patterns and congestion.