An assessment of sediment noise modelling on the Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge Clay: Implications for aquifer-eustasy

Relative sea-level curves obtained from analysis of the stratigraphic record provide crucial insights into various aspects of the Earth system. In recent years, several studies have employed sediment noise modelling (DYNOT and lag-1 autocorrelation coefficient) of astronomically tuned records to obt...

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Published inProceedings of the Geologists' Association p. 101136
Main Authors Davies, Andrew, Simmons, Michael D.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier Ltd 01.08.2025
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ISSN0016-7878
DOI10.1016/j.pgeola.2025.101136

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Abstract Relative sea-level curves obtained from analysis of the stratigraphic record provide crucial insights into various aspects of the Earth system. In recent years, several studies have employed sediment noise modelling (DYNOT and lag-1 autocorrelation coefficient) of astronomically tuned records to obtain information on changes in water depth and relative sea-level. Many of these studies provide support for aquifer-eustasy by demonstrating an out of phase relationship between relative lake level (from sediment noise modelling) and published eustatic curves. However, few studies have validated the sea/lake level curves derived from sediment noise modelling with independent water depth indicators. Here sediment noise modelling is critically evaluated using data from the Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge Clay Formation of the southern UK, where astronomical forcing has previously been demonstrated. Sediment noise modelling-derived water depth records are compared to detrital quartz-silt concentrations, previously shown to be an excellent proxy for relative sea-level changes through correlation with contemporaneous proximal successions. There is minimal correlation between the sediment noise modelling results and the independent quartz-silt record. Consequently, more research is required to demonstrate the validity of sediment noise modelling as a proxy for water depth change in sedimentary successions. This work implies that support for aquifer-eustasy as a primary driver of short-term, moderate magnitude sea-level change from sediment noise modelling studies should be re-evaluated.
AbstractList Relative sea-level curves obtained from analysis of the stratigraphic record provide crucial insights into various aspects of the Earth system. In recent years, several studies have employed sediment noise modelling (DYNOT and lag-1 autocorrelation coefficient) of astronomically tuned records to obtain information on changes in water depth and relative sea-level. Many of these studies provide support for aquifer-eustasy by demonstrating an out of phase relationship between relative lake level (from sediment noise modelling) and published eustatic curves. However, few studies have validated the sea/lake level curves derived from sediment noise modelling with independent water depth indicators. Here sediment noise modelling is critically evaluated using data from the Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge Clay Formation of the southern UK, where astronomical forcing has previously been demonstrated. Sediment noise modelling-derived water depth records are compared to detrital quartz-silt concentrations, previously shown to be an excellent proxy for relative sea-level changes through correlation with contemporaneous proximal successions. There is minimal correlation between the sediment noise modelling results and the independent quartz-silt record. Consequently, more research is required to demonstrate the validity of sediment noise modelling as a proxy for water depth change in sedimentary successions. This work implies that support for aquifer-eustasy as a primary driver of short-term, moderate magnitude sea-level change from sediment noise modelling studies should be re-evaluated.
ArticleNumber 101136
Author Simmons, Michael D.
Davies, Andrew
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Keywords Aquifer-eustasy
Relative sea-level
Upper Jurassic
Sediment noise modelling
Kimmeridge Clay Formation
DYNOT
Eustasy
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SubjectTerms Aquifer-eustasy
DYNOT
Eustasy
Kimmeridge Clay Formation
Relative sea-level
Sediment noise modelling
Upper Jurassic
Title An assessment of sediment noise modelling on the Upper Jurassic Kimmeridge Clay: Implications for aquifer-eustasy
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pgeola.2025.101136
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