Plan prediction : which policy is preferred by which people?

This book develops an innovative system, in the form of an "app", that harnesses the power of the internet to predict which sorts of people will prefer which policy in ANY planning situation. It chronicles the accumulated research wisdom behind the system's reasoning, along with sever...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Wyatt, Ray, (Author)
Format: eBook
Language: English
Published: Cham, Switzerland : Springer, [2016]
Subjects:
Decision support systems.
elektronické knihy
electronic books
ISBN: 9783319464305
9783319464299
Physical Description: 1 online resource

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Table of contents

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040 |a N$T  |b eng  |e rda  |e pn  |c N$T  |d IDEBK  |d EBLCP  |d GW5XE  |d YDX  |d OCLCF  |d N$T  |d UAB  |d CNCGM  |d IOG  |d ESU  |d Z5A  |d JBG  |d IAD  |d ICW  |d ICN  |d ILO  |d OTZ  |d OCLCQ  |d U3W  |d CAUOI  |d OCLCQ  |d KSU  |d UKMGB  |d UKAHL  |d OCLCQ 
020 |a 9783319464305  |q (electronic bk.) 
020 |z 9783319464299  |q (print) 
035 |a (OCoLC)963932239  |z (OCoLC)966555838 
100 1 |a Wyatt, Ray,  |e author. 
245 1 0 |a Plan prediction :  |b which policy is preferred by which people? /  |c Ray Wyatt. 
264 1 |a Cham, Switzerland :  |b Springer,  |c [2016] 
264 4 |c ©2017 
300 |a 1 online resource 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a počítač  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online zdroj  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
505 0 |a School -- College -- Career -- Practicality -- Productivity -- Prudence -- Software -- Responses -- Reverse Engineering it. 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references. 
505 0 |a Preface; Acknowledgements; Contents; Common Sense Plan Prediction; 1 School; 1.1 Birthday; 1.2 Elevators; 1.3 Game Show; 1.4 Parking Meters; 1.5 Hills; 1.6 Tournament; 1.7 Computerized Chess; 1.8 Rebecca; 1.9 Corporate Behaviour; 1.10 Mr. P and the Twins; 1.11 Exercises; 2 College; 2.1 Basic Needs; 2.2 Sniper; 2.3 Crime Rate; 2.4 Primeval Life; 2.5 Consciousness; 2.6 Extensions; 2.7 Traffic; 2.8 Goals-Achievement Matrix; 2.9 World Records; 2.10 Schizophrenia; 2.11 Exercises; 3 Career; 3.1 Gravity Train; 3.2 Shoes; 3.3 Academia; 3.4 Urban Planning; 3.5 Personal Rapid Transit (PRT); 3.6 Puzzles 
505 8 |a 3.7 Cartograms3.8 Face Charts; 3.9 Implanted Computers; 3.10 Exercises; Plan-Prediction Parameters; 4 Practicality; 4.1 Safety; 4.1.1 Modifiable Areas; 4.1.2 Cumulative Uncertainty; 4.1.3 Conservatism; 4.2 Ease; 4.2.1 Creativity; 4.2.2 Computerized Creativity; 4.3 Speed; 4.3.1 Rationality; 4.3.2 Hermeneutics; 4.3.3 Irrationality; 4.4 Exercises; 5 Productivity; 5.1 Effectiveness; 5.1.1 Multivariate Analysis; 5.1.2 Goal Hierarchies; 5.1.3 Simulation; 5.2 Efficiency; 5.2.1 Changing Attitudes; 5.2.2 Emotion; 5.3 Timeliness; 5.3.1 Futurology; 5.3.2 Awareness; 5.3.3 Technological Utopia 
505 8 |a 5.4 Exercises6 Prudence; 6.1 Acceptability; 6.1.1 Propaganda; 6.1.2 Groupthink; 6.1.3 Decision Support; 6.2 Permissiveness; 6.2.1 Optimization; 6.2.2 Flexibility; 6.3 Independence; 6.3.1 Operations Research; 6.3.2 Collaborative Planning; 6.4 Exercises; A Plan-Prediction System; 7 Software; 7.1 Balanced Planning; 7.2 Integrity of Design; 7.3 Graphic Clarity; 7.4 Evaluation Criteria; 7.5 Regression-Based Forecasting; 7.6 System Validation; 7.7 The App; 7.8 Exercises; 8 Responses; 8.1 Anti Computerization; 8.2 Pro Computerization; 8.3 Adjudication; 8.4 Role Playing; 8.5 Politics 
505 8 |a 8.6 Cultural Influences8.7 Consciousness Expansion; 8.8 Exercises; 9 Reverse Engineering It; 9.1 Plan Tolerance; 9.2 Planning Styles; 9.3 East Versus West; 9.4 Inter-group Comparisons; 9.5 Score-Scapes; 9.6 Supporter-Scapes; 9.7 Exercises; References; Internet Sources 
506 |a Plný text je dostupný pouze z IP adres počítačů Univerzity Tomáše Bati ve Zlíně nebo vzdáleným přístupem pro zaměstnance a studenty 
520 |a This book develops an innovative system, in the form of an "app", that harnesses the power of the internet to predict which sorts of people will prefer which policy in ANY planning situation. It chronicles the accumulated research wisdom behind the system's reasoning, along with several less successful approaches to policy making that have been found wanting in the past - including the myth, usually peddled by strategic planners, that it is possible to find a "best" plan which optimally satisfies everybody. The book lays out an entirely new kind of Planning Support System (PSS). It will facilitate decision-making that is far more community-sensitive than previously, and it will drastically improve the performance of anyone who needs to plan within socially-sensitive contexts - which is all of us. A standout feature of the system is its commitment to "scientific rigour", as shown by its predicted plan scores always being graphically presented within error margins so that true statistical significance is instantly observable. Moreover, the probabilities that its predictions are correct are always shown - a refreshing change from most, if not all other Decision Support Systems (DSS) that simply expect users to accept their outputs on faith alone. 
590 |a SpringerLink  |b Springer Complete eBooks 
650 0 |a Decision support systems. 
655 7 |a elektronické knihy  |7 fd186907  |2 czenas 
655 9 |a electronic books  |2 eczenas 
856 4 0 |u https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=https://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-46430-5  |y Plný text 
992 |c NTK-SpringerENG 
999 |c 99569  |d 99569 

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