Megaproject risk analysis and simulation : a dynamic systems approach

Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation. This is backed up by a disc...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Boateng, Prince, (Author), Chen, Zhen, (Author), Ogunlana, Stephen O., 1957- (Author)
Format: eBook
Language: English
Published: Bingley : Emerald Publishing Limited, 2017.
Series: Online access with EBA: Emerald Business, Management & Economics.
Subjects:
ISBN: 9781786358301
9781786358318
Physical Description: 1 online zdroj (288 stran)

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Table of contents

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100 1 |a Boateng, Prince,  |e author. 
245 1 0 |a Megaproject risk analysis and simulation :  |b a dynamic systems approach /  |c by Prince Boateng, Zhen Chen, Stephen O. Ogunlana. 
264 1 |a Bingley :  |b Emerald Publishing Limited,  |c 2017. 
264 4 |c ©2017 
300 |a 1 online zdroj (288 stran) 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a počítač  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online zdroj  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
504 |a Obsahuje bibliografické odkazy a index. 
506 |a Plný text je dostupný pouze z IP adres počítačů Univerzity Tomáše Bati ve Zlíně nebo vzdáleným přístupem pro zaměstnance a studenty univerzity 
520 |a Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation. This is backed up by a discussion of the methodology as applied in a comprehensive case study on the Edinburgh Tram Network (ETN) project. The book informs both academic researchers and megaproject stakeholders with the latest information on risk as applied to megaprojects. As well as the complete case study, the book includes a general risk analysis framework for megaprojects, an analytic network process (ANP) method for risk quantification, a system dynamics (SD) method for risk simulation, and practical guides for the application of the dynamic systems approach in megaproject research and practice. 
505 0 |a Front Cover; Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation: A Dynamic Systems Approach; Copyright Page; Dedication; Contents; Abbreviations; List of Figures; List of Tables; List of Exhibits; List of Equations; Acknowledgements; About the Authors; Preface; Foreword; Chapter 1 Introduction; 1.1. Introduction; 1.2. The Problem with Megaprojects; 1.2.1. Megaproject Risks; 1.2.2. Megaproject Risk Assessment; 1.2.3. A New Risk Assessment Framework; 1.3. Purpose and Scope; 1.4. Structure of the Book; 1.5. Originality and Value; 1.6. Summary; Chapter 2 The Edinburgh Tram Network (ETN) Project. 
505 8 |a 2.1. Introduction2.2. Background to the Project; 2.2.1. The 1871-1956 Era; 2.2.2. The New Edinburgh Tram Network; 2.2.3. Tram Network Construction and Civil Engineering Works; 2.2.4. Contractual Disputes; 2.3. STEEP Risks; 2.3.1. Social Issues; 2.3.2. Technical Issues; 2.3.3. Environmental Issues; 2.3.4. Political Issues; 2.4. Summary; Chapter 3 Megaproject Risks Assessment Framework; 3.1. Introduction; 3.2. Risk Analysis Framework; 3.2.1. The ANP Modelling Route; 3.2.1.1. ANP model structure development; 3.2.1.2. Pairwise comparison; 3.2.1.3. Consistency test; 3.2.2. The SD Modelling Route. 
505 8 |a 3.3. Risk Clusters3.3.1. The Social Risks Cluster; 3.3.2. Technical Risk Cluster; 3.3.3. Economic Risks; 3.3.3.1. Completion risks; 3.3.3.2. Market risk; 3.3.4. Environmental Risk Cluster; 3.3.5. Political Risk Cluster; 3.4. Summary; Chapter 4 Megaproject Risk Quantification; 4.1. Introduction; 4.2. Analysis of Risk Interdependency; 4.2.1. Qualitative Approaches; 4.2.2. The Quantitative Approach; 4.2.3. Descriptive Quantitative Results and Analysis; 4.2.4. Standardized Quantitative Results and Analysis; 4.2.5. Adjustments of Participants' Opinions; 4.3. ANP Model; 4.4. Pairwise Comparison. 
505 8 |a 4.5. Risk Interdependency Matrix4.5.1. Project Objectives Cluster; 4.5.2. Potential Risks Cluster; 4.5.3. Potential Risks Sub-Clusters; 4.6. Supermatrix Calculation; 4.7. Risk Rating; 4.8. Consistency Test; 4.9. Risk Priority Index (RPI); 4.10. Summary; Chapter 5 Risk Simulation; 5.1. Introduction; 5.2. Project Risk Systems Model; 5.2.1. Model Causality; 5.2.2. Initial Model Development; 5.2.3. System Boundaries; 5.3. STEEP Risks System; 5.3.1. Social Risks System; 5.3.1.1. The vicious cycle of social risks generation; 5.3.1.2. The vicious cycle of grievance prevention. 
505 8 |a 5.3.1.3. Causalities for social risk stock variables5.3.2. Technical Risks System; 5.3.2.1. Causalities for technical risk stock variables; 5.3.3. Economic Risks System; 5.3.3.1. Causalities for the economic risks stock variables; 5.3.4. Environmental Risks System; 5.3.4.1. Causalities for environmental risks stock variables; 5.3.5. Political Risks System; 5.3.5.1. Causalities for political risks stock variables; 5.4. System Verification; 5.5. System Modelling, Testing and Simulation; 5.5.1. Integrated Stock and Flow STEEP Models; 5.5.2. Model Equation Formulation. 
590 |a Emerald Insight  |b Emerald Business, Management and Economics eBook Series Collection Purchase 
590 |a Emerald Insight  |b Emerald Social Sciences eBook Series Collection Purchase 
650 0 |a Project management. 
650 0 |a Risk assessment. 
651 7 |a Scotland  |z Edinburgh.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01205145 
655 7 |a elektronické knihy  |7 fd186907  |2 czenas 
655 9 |a electronic books  |2 eczenas 
700 1 |a Chen, Zhen,  |e author. 
700 1 |a Ogunlana, Stephen O.,  |d 1957-  |e author. 
776 0 8 |i Print version :  |z 9781786358318 
830 0 |a Online access with EBA: Emerald Business, Management & Economics. 
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