Principles of risk analysis decision making under uncertainty

• Main Author: Yoe, Charles E.
• Format: eBook
• Language: English
• Published: Boca Raton, Fla. : CRC Press, 2012.
• Subjects: Decision making.; Risk assessment.; elektronické knihy; electronic books
• ISBN: 9781439857502
• DOI: 10.1201/b11256
• Physical Description: xxi, 561 p. : ill.

"Preface I did not want to write this book. I wanted to buy it. Risk analysis is mature enough that it needs a principles text. There are many wonderful books available on the subject of risk. In fact, for years, in the training I have done, I used to schlep a dozen of them around for students...

Table of Contents:

• 1. The basics
• 2. Uncertainty
• 3. Risk management
• 4. Risk assessment
• 5. Risk communication
• 6. Problem identification for risk management
• 7. Brainstorming
• 8. Opportunity costs and trade-offs
• 9. Qualitative risk assessment
• 10. The art and practice of risk assessment modeling
• 11. Probability review
• 12. Choosing a probability distribution
• 13. Probability elicitation
• 14. Monte Carlo process
• 15. Probabilistic scenario analysis
• 16. Sensitivity analysis
• 17. Presenting and using assessment results
• 18. Message development.